NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	127		Excitement	9.0 [144]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +45.2%
LA Clippers	130		Comeback	3.2 [814]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -22.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.45	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.45	0.28	0.19	0.02	26	79%	0.60	5	-0.15	5	100%	0.06
Garrett Temple	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.16	0.17	0.01	8	106%	0.40	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.11	-0.00	7	82%	0.23	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Patrick Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.04	0.01	9	85%	0.19	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Denzel Valentine	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	83%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Adam Mokoka	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	0.00	8	60%	0.06	4	-0.17	4	100%	0.02
Coby White	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.14	-0.05	11	37%	-0.02	5	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.14	0.20	-0.00	10	72%	0.38	1	-0.04	9	89%	0.04
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.08	0.23	-0.00	3	89%	0.32	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.34,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.24	0.24	0.25	0.00	0.01	22	80%	0.30	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.09	-0.01	19	60%	0.24	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.03
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.00	8	61%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	36%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Terance Mann	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.6	28.2	14.8	24.0	2.0	43.1	140.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -26.6%

LAC +8.9%

LAC +13.0%

LAC +51.8%

LAC +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAC	NBA	CHI	LAC	NBA
this game	13.4	14.5	14.4	124.5	125.0	111.3
season	14.5	14.9		109.9	116.6
opponent	14.7	14.3		110.9	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	11.7	15.0	13.7	13.1	13.4
LAC	16.4	13.8	14.5	13.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Mokoka	1	1	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	0	-3	1.0	13.5	-12.52	21.0	14.5	6.51
Patrick Williams	74	78	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.39	9	-12	21	13.6	13.0	0.55	14.7	14.0	0.78
Wendell Carter Jr.	57	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	1	-5	13.8	12.8	1.00	14.8	14.2	0.67
Daniel Gafford	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-1	-1	13.4	13.4	-0.05	14.5	14.6	-0.06
Denzel Valentine	44	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	5	-13	13.8	13.1	0.73	13.6	15.2	-1.58
Thaddeus Young	53	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.20	-5	2	-7	13.1	13.7	-0.56	14.7	14.3	0.38
Zach LaVine	88	91	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	1	-5	13.6	12.1	1.54	14.5	14.8	-0.25
Coby White	93	92	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-2	1	13.3	14.8	-1.51	14.6	14.2	0.34
Garrett Temple	78	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.55	3	-6	9	13.0	14.8	-1.82	14.4	14.9	-0.44

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	50	49	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.25	16	-13	29	15.1	14.0	1.14	13.7	13.1	0.64
Paul George	88	86	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.34	12	-9	21	14.2	16.3	-2.09	13.6	12.4	1.14
Kawhi Leonard	83	81	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.42	-3	6	-9	14.7	14.0	0.63	12.9	15.3	-2.43
Marcus Morris Sr.	55	52	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	2	-1	14.5	14.6	-0.04	12.9	14.0	-1.09
Ivica Zubac	32	31	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	-2	7	14.1	14.7	-0.61	14.3	13.0	1.23
Nicolas Batum	61	60	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	7	-11	14.2	15.0	-0.77	13.4	13.4	0.04
Luke Kennard	38	37	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	0	3	15.7	13.9	1.83	12.9	13.7	-0.72
Serge Ibaka	57	57	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	15.1	13.8	1.31	13.4	13.4	0.04
Patrick Beverley	55	56	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.33	-12	15	-27	13.8	15.4	-1.59	13.9	12.8	1.09
Terance Mann	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	5	-7	0.0	14.7	-14.69	11.0	13.4	-2.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.46,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 73, NYK 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.79,0.65,0.78,0.61,0.54,0.83,0.9,1	92.4%
GSW 85, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.85,0.95,1	91.9%
POR 80, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.53,0.66,0.81,0.71,0.86,0.99,1	91.8%