NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	80		Excitement	6.8 [411]		MVP	Joe Smith (CLE): +19.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Comeback	3.2 [581]		LVP	James Jones (POR): -11.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	19	58%	0.15	2	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Martell Webster	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.02	13	47%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Jarrett Jack	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	21%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
James Jones	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	7	21%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.12	0.01	10	64%	0.21	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.08
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.01	11	64%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.01	7	71%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.08	0.02	18	49%	0.12	4	-0.09	13	69%	-0.02
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	5	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Dwayne Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Devin Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	9	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	3.3	29.2	15.4	24.3	2.0	40.2	137.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +11.7%

CLE +28.9%

CLE +4.2%

CLE +12.0%

POR -6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	CLE	NBA	POR	CLE	NBA
this game	18.2	16.7	15.4	97.6	106.0	105.7
season	16.7	16.4		105.5	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.4		104.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.7	19.8	18.0	18.4	18.2
CLE	18.5	15.4	17.1	15.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Przybilla	39	37	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.19	7	-15	22	17.5	18.8	-1.32	18.4	15.3	3.06
James Jones	30	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-6	4	19.4	17.5	1.88	14.7	18.0	-3.34
Brandon Roy	71	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-10	12	17.6	22.4	-4.80	17.2	13.8	3.33
Steve Blake	57	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-1	-6	17.1	20.7	-3.56	17.6	14.8	2.72
Travis Outlaw	27	29	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-4	0	18.8	17.9	0.91	15.3	17.4	-2.10
Channing Frye	27	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	3	-14	19.7	17.5	2.29	14.4	17.9	-3.48
Martell Webster	53	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-5	2	17.9	18.8	-0.85	17.8	14.7	3.10
LaMarcus Aldridge	70	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-1	-6	18.0	19.5	-1.51	17.4	12.8	4.58
Jarrett Jack	36	36	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.23	-15	7	-22	20.2	16.6	3.59	14.4	18.4	-4.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	47	45	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	-1	10	15.3	18.5	-3.21	20.0	16.1	3.92
LeBron James	76	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	0	8	16.8	15.6	1.24	18.0	20.9	-2.90
Anderson Varejao	62	61	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	-1	10	17.8	13.4	4.39	17.7	19.7	-1.96
Joe Smith	57	57	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	-5	18	15.9	18.5	-2.55	18.0	18.6	-0.62
Delonte West	58	57	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	1	6	17.3	15.2	2.10	17.3	20.4	-3.10
Devin Brown	65	64	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	-2	12	17.1	15.3	1.83	18.5	17.1	1.40
Damon Jones	30	30	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	9	-10	15.1	17.6	-2.57	20.1	17.1	2.98
Dwayne Jones	4	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	14	-20	8.7	17.1	-8.36	11.5	18.6	-7.05
Ben Wallace	26	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	15	-22	18.5	15.9	2.61	17.5	18.5	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.53,0.66,0.81,0.71,0.86,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.43,0.44,0.64,0.47,0.61,0.81,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	92.6%
ATL 90, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.95,1	92.2%
BOS 100, ATL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.38,0.52,0.62,0.47,0.42,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.95,1	92.1%