NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	7.3 [347]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (WAS): +20.3%
Washington Wizards	94		Comeback	4.5 [206]		LVP	Lorenzen Wright (ATL): -19.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hanno Mottola	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	24	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	9	89%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	11	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Alan Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Roshown McLeod	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	12	42%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sean Colson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.12	0.01	13	54%	-0.03	5	-0.17	2	50%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	-0.01	19	66%	0.24	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.16	0.16	-0.01	0.14	-0.02	10	69%	0.26	5	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	48%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	21	54%	0.08	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Michael Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	3	67%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.03	-0.00	9	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	24.4	15.4	23.3	2.0	38.2	131.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +56.0%

ATL -0.5%

ATL -13.7%

WAS +11.0%

ATL -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.3	15.5	93.8	100.0	100.9
season	15.4	15.2		96.0	98.6
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.5	11.5	17.0	15.3	15.0
WAS	13.5	17.3	15.7	14.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	6	5	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.01	3	-7	10	17.3	14.8	2.49	18.0	15.2	2.83
Dion Glover	17	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-5	6	15.7	14.8	0.86	14.1	15.6	-1.51
DerMarr Johnson	27	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-4	4	12.6	15.9	-3.35	13.7	15.9	-2.25
Lorenzen Wright	61	60	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.41	9	-13	22	13.5	17.7	-4.23	16.2	13.7	2.48
Brevin Knight	81	79	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-10	16	14.4	18.3	-3.95	15.8	12.8	3.00
Alan Henderson	37	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	4	-12	15.9	14.4	1.54	14.8	15.7	-0.93
Jason Terry	70	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.38	3	-7	10	14.4	16.6	-2.16	15.9	13.6	2.29
Hanno Mottola	10	10	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	3	-10	20.1	14.4	5.69	12.4	15.7	-3.27
Dikembe Mutombo	81	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	0	-4	15.5	12.2	3.32	15.6	13.7	1.89
Sean Colson	15	15	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	6	-16	18.3	14.4	3.95	12.8	15.8	-3.00
Roshown McLeod	75	74	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.35	-13	9	-22	15.6	12.8	2.80	15.0	16.3	-1.31

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Nesby	61	64	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.39	11	-7	18	15.1	15.7	-0.58	14.6	15.7	-1.12
Juwan Howard	80	81	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.42	8	-4	12	15.0	17.3	-2.31	15.6	12.0	3.56
Richard Hamilton	83	84	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.36	10	-6	16	15.3	15.2	0.16	15.7	10.2	5.52
Chris Whitney	83	85	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	5	-6	15.7	12.8	2.83	14.9	15.8	-0.92
Calvin Booth	29	29	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	-2	8	13.4	16.2	-2.71	16.7	14.3	2.47
Jahidi White	63	64	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	4	-4	16.6	12.7	3.94	14.7	15.5	-0.75
Felipe Lopez	23	24	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	8	-12	13.5	15.9	-2.44	12.5	15.8	-3.28
Michael Smith	48	49	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.06	-10	14	-24	15.9	14.8	1.09	14.1	16.0	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.43,0.44,0.64,0.47,0.61,0.81,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	93.4%
MIA 102, MEM 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.28,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	92.7%
CHA 79, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	92.4%