NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	87		Excitement	7.3 [344]		MVP	Stephon Marbury (PHX): +51.5%
Phoenix Suns	94		Comeback	5.7 [107]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -26.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	5	87%	0.18	2	-0.07	6	67%	0.02
Steven Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	7	72%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	3	62%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.01
Danny Ferry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	22	62%	0.24	5	-0.24	6	83%	0.02
David Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Steve Kerr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	5	25%	-0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Parker	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.26	-0.21	-0.07	-0.01	12	25%	-0.12	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.4,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.51	0.51	0.17	0.34	-0.00	34	59%	0.51	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	6	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	13	41%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	6	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	6	57%	0.01	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	9	44%	-0.01	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	28.4	15.5	24.4	1.6	38.2	135.9
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +2.8%

SAS -8.3%

PHX +25.3%

PHX +31.8%

SAS -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.7	16.0	15.5	95.6	103.3	101.6
season	15.7	15.0		102.5	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.4		100.1	96.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.9	14.2	18.4	14.8	15.7
PHX	16.1	15.8	16.8	15.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	24	25	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-10	13	15.0	16.0	-1.00	15.7	16.0	-0.33
Steve Kerr	21	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-8	9	14.3	16.1	-1.77	16.5	15.8	0.68
Kevin Willis	31	31	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-3	-1	15.5	15.8	-0.37	16.7	15.5	1.19
Stephen Jackson	44	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-7	7	14.9	16.4	-1.56	16.0	15.9	0.13
Manu Ginobili	28	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-5	3	13.8	16.5	-2.70	14.6	16.5	-1.90
David Robinson	38	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-7	7	16.3	15.3	1.03	16.2	15.8	0.44
Danny Ferry	5	5	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.14	-3	-4	1	15.6	15.7	-0.10	16.8	15.9	0.89
Bruce Bowen	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.12	-5	-2	-3	16.8	14.4	2.48	16.3	15.6	0.71
Steven Smith	60	60	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.17	-9	2	-11	16.0	15.1	0.85	15.6	16.6	-1.00
Tony Parker	72	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	16.2	13.8	2.40	16.1	15.2	0.91
Tim Duncan	83	81	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	3	-13	15.8	14.5	1.31	15.7	17.8	-2.07

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Casey Jacobsen	47	46	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.31	15	-8	23	15.5	16.5	-0.97	14.6	16.8	-2.24
Dan Langhi	40	40	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.25	12	-5	17	16.6	15.4	1.19	15.5	15.8	-0.34
Shawn Marion	86	87	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	-3	13	15.8	18.0	-2.16	15.9	12.0	3.86
Stephon Marbury	83	82	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	2	3	16.2	13.5	2.69	15.8	14.8	1.01
Scott Williams	64	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	5	-3	15.3	17.6	-2.33	15.3	16.7	-1.35
Amar'e Stoudemire	40	41	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	8	-9	15.9	16.0	-0.06	16.5	15.0	1.49
Jake Voskuhl	14	12	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	4	-1	18.1	15.6	2.58	17.6	15.4	2.18
Joe Johnson	11	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	8	-9	16.5	15.9	0.67	13.8	15.9	-2.13
Bo Outlaw	24	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.01	-2	9	-11	15.5	16.1	-0.68	14.7	16.0	-1.34
Anfernee Hardaway	46	47	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.01	-8	15	-23	16.1	15.8	0.26	16.7	14.6	2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.43,0.44,0.64,0.47,0.61,0.81,0.79,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 90, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.95,1	93.4%
POR 80, CLE 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.26,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.53,0.66,0.81,0.71,0.86,0.99,1	92.6%
SAC 77, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.92,1	92.6%