NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	102		Excitement	5.2 [698]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (CHA): +33.7%
Atlanta Hawks	94		Comeback	1.6 [390]		LVP	Cam Reddish (ATL): -13.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.34	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.34	0.30	0.09	0.06	25	71%	0.37	1	-0.03	12	83%	0.05
LaMelo Ball	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	12	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Cody Martin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devonte' Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.11	0.03	-0.07	14	32%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Miles Bridges	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
P.J. Washington	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Caleb Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.08	0.05	16	59%	0.13	2	-0.03	7	71%	0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.09	-0.04	0.05	15	63%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nathan Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.06	0.02	15	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.18	0.01	-0.06	9	33%	0.01	7	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Cam Reddish	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	15	25%	-0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	28.2	14.5	26.7	1.7	36.3	133.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +34.7%

CHA +14.1%

CHA +2.5%

ATL -2.2%

CHA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.8	14.4	99.0	92.2	111.3
season	14.2	14.7		109.4	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.7		111.4	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.6	13.1	14.1	12.5	13.3
ATL	14.6	14.6	15.3	14.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	86	84	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-2	12	13.0	14.9	-1.94	15.1	13.4	1.63
P.J. Washington	82	80	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.11	16	-8	24	12.8	15.3	-2.47	14.6	15.3	-0.62
Devonte' Graham	86	83	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-4	16	13.2	13.7	-0.46	14.5	16.2	-1.75
Terry Rozier	63	61	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.09	13	-5	18	12.7	14.3	-1.64	14.3	15.5	-1.18
Miles Bridges	49	48	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	-2	12	13.4	13.2	0.17	13.8	15.7	-1.91
Bismack Biyombo	49	49	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	13	-18	15.1	11.7	3.36	15.4	14.2	1.24
Caleb Martin	30	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.13	-5	13	-18	13.3	13.3	-0.03	15.2	14.6	0.63
LaMelo Ball	48	50	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.11	0	8	-8	13.8	12.9	0.88	15.1	14.5	0.66
Cody Martin	22	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.20	-11	19	-30	13.5	13.3	0.17	16.0	14.4	1.59

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	23	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-9	10	14.2	15.0	-0.79	13.9	13.2	0.72
Clint Capela	57	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.16	2	-10	12	14.6	15.0	-0.31	13.5	13.1	0.48
Brandon Goodwin	41	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.37	9	-17	26	14.6	14.9	-0.25	13.7	13.1	0.61
Nathan Knight	6	6	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.11	-8	0	-8	13.0	14.9	-1.90	13.2	13.3	-0.16
Cam Reddish	63	61	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-5	2	14.7	15.0	-0.35	12.2	14.9	-2.64
Bogdan Bogdanovic	39	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	1	-10	14.0	15.3	-1.23	14.4	12.7	1.79
Kevin Huerter	70	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.28	-1	-7	6	15.0	14.4	0.60	13.0	14.1	-1.17
De'Andre Hunter	70	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-4	0	15.2	13.8	1.42	13.4	13.2	0.23
John Collins	67	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	4	-16	15.1	14.2	0.93	13.4	13.2	0.17
Trae Young	74	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.11	-15	7	-22	14.9	14.4	0.54	13.3	13.3	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.61,0.38,0.07,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 113, CHA 112	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.31,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.16,0.08,0.07,0	94.7%
MIL 129, SAC 122	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0	93.3%
WAS 99, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.29,0.54,0.39,0.15,0.14,0.14,0	92.1%