inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 129 Excitement5.2 [769] MVPMichael Redd (MIL): +26.0%
Sacramento Kings 122 Comeback1.1 [837] LVPBeno Udrih (SAC): -7.1%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0.260,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.32-0.010.052676%0.271-0.016100%0.02
Charlie Villanueva0.260,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.04,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.260.020.19-0.052054%0.303-0.04667%-0.01
Francisco Elson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.020.012117%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Luke Ridnour0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.070.11-0.020.021163%0.0700.005100%0.02
Luc Mbah a Moute0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.050.080.000.04880%0.082-0.034100%0.01
Richard Jefferson0.000,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.00-0.011444%0.0000.00875%-0.02
Joe Alexander-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01250%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Ramon Sessions-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02325%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Charlie Bell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Dan Gadzuric-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00

Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Salmons0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.190.190.140.080.03986%0.253-0.061070%-0.00
Brad Miller0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.130.040.02780%0.172-0.031191%-0.01
Jason Thompson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.10.100.160.020.08588%0.152-0.041593%0.02
Kevin Martin0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.10-0.020.051760%0.092-0.06683%-0.00
Mikki Moore00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02440%0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Bobby Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Spencer Hawes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Francisco Garcia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.070.010.021146%0.024-0.094100%0.01
Beno Udrih0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.011061%0.065-0.13367%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.22.732.016.634.00.838.2152.5
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +12.5%
SAC -8.5%
MIL +17.7%
MIL +26.4%
MIL +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILSACNBAMILSACNBA
this game14.114.115.5126.5119.6106.4
season15.015.0104.9104.0
opponent15.115.6112.7105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL13.514.912.915.314.1
SAC15.313.313.814.014.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Redd85850.57-0.070.640.0717-102713.616.7-3.0814.114.00.12
Luc Mbah a Moute67670.430.070.370.3434-113.814.7-0.8813.016.1-3.07
Luke Ridnour79780.410.090.310.149-21114.014.5-0.4414.313.31.00
Richard Jefferson69700.330.170.160.2725-313.914.6-0.7414.313.70.51
Charlie Villanueva72700.300.200.110.2425-314.313.80.4814.214.00.19
Francisco Elson35340.220.28-0.05-0.1914-72115.413.51.9215.413.41.97
Charlie Bell26250.100.40-0.300.0716-514.514.00.4414.114.10.03
Dan Gadzuric23250.060.44-0.380.12-29-1114.714.00.6614.314.00.24
Ramon Sessions33340.040.46-0.410.25-714-2114.813.80.9613.814.2-0.46
Joe Alexander21220.030.47-0.440.15-411-1513.814.2-0.4713.914.1-0.24

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Brown66-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-8917.713.93.7911.814.3-2.45
Spencer Hawes1715-0.07-0.430.35-0.070-7713.514.2-0.6815.513.91.64
Mikki Moore97-0.11-0.390.290.01-4-3-115.014.00.9914.014.1-0.15
Bobby Jackson4039-0.21-0.290.080.05-92-1113.814.3-0.4113.114.8-1.72
Francisco Garcia6565-0.25-0.250.01-0.07-6-1-514.014.2-0.1413.615.0-1.35
Jason Thompson7574-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.342-91114.712.62.1013.815.0-1.14
Kevin Martin8486-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.362-91113.616.3-2.6514.412.61.79
John Salmons6668-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.30-1-6514.313.70.5814.812.81.97
Beno Udrih8282-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.30-3-4114.114.2-0.1314.213.80.42
Brad Miller6668-0.540.04-0.58-0.04-1710-2713.814.7-0.8814.413.70.65


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.27,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 102, NYK 970.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.25,0.21,0.05,0.01,093.9%
PHI 118, MIN 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.15,0.16,0.01,0.04,093.8%
PHX 103, SAC 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.19,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.18,0.19,0.34,0.11,0.02,093.7%