NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	133		Excitement	10.3 [50]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (CHI): +39.7%
Washington Wizards	130		Comeback	4.2 [152]		LVP	Davis Bertans (WAS): -16.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.4	0.28	0.14	0.02	14	90%	0.40	0	0.00	3	100%	0.06
Daniel Gafford	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.00	8	83%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.10	0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	11	67%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Patrick Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	83%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Coby White	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.05	-0.06	0.11	0.00	16	43%	0.13	3	-0.08	5	60%	0.04
Garrett Temple	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.02	6	62%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Denzel Valentine	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.02,-0.1,-0.08,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	17	50%	0.09	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.07
Thaddeus Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,-0.03	0.04	-0.09	-0.03	12	62%	0.12	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.15	0.22	0.00	7	94%	0.37	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.28	0.06	0.02	11	97%	0.34	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.07
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	0.00	3	83%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	0.00	0.10	-0.06	0.04	8	71%	0.09	2	-0.09	8	62%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.12,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	18	52%	0.08	5	-0.12	6	50%	-0.04
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.11,0,-0.16	-0.16	0.04	-0.19	0.01	19	55%	-0.00	3	-0.16	13	92%	0.11
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	8	16%	-0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.4	29.8	14.6	28.4	1.4	40.5	146.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +32.9%

CHI +10.1%

CHI +10.3%

WAS -11.4%

CHI +8.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	WAS	NBA	CHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.0	12.7	14.4	127.9	125.0	111.3
season	14.5	13.3		109.9	109.9
opponent	14.1	14.3		112.4	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.8	12.3	14.4	16.5	15.0
WAS	11.3	12.9	15.6	11.2	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	64	62	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.33	19	-16	35	14.2	16.2	-1.97	11.6	14.3	-2.69
Coby White	88	86	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.42	14	-11	25	14.6	16.9	-2.34	13.0	11.3	1.76
Daniel Gafford	48	47	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.12	23	-20	43	15.3	14.7	0.57	12.3	13.1	-0.79
Otto Porter Jr.	66	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	3	-3	14.8	15.2	-0.43	13.3	11.7	1.55
Zach LaVine	74	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.43	-3	6	-9	15.3	14.2	1.02	12.5	13.3	-0.76
Garrett Temple	64	63	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.42	-3	6	-9	14.6	15.5	-0.92	12.0	13.8	-1.77
Denzel Valentine	33	31	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	-1	5	15.7	14.6	1.03	12.7	12.7	-0.03
Patrick Williams	35	38	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	0.05	-15	18	-33	15.8	14.5	1.26	14.3	11.8	2.50
Wendell Carter Jr.	48	50	-0.60	1.10	-1.70	0.10	-24	27	-51	15.5	14.5	0.92	13.2	12.3	0.94

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rui Hachimura	56	52	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.35	13	-16	29	13.6	11.7	1.94	14.9	15.0	-0.04
Deni Avdija	53	52	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-8	13	13.5	11.9	1.59	15.2	14.7	0.54
Moritz Wagner	15	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-3	3	12.5	12.8	-0.31	16.2	14.7	1.52
Troy Brown Jr.	35	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-1	-1	13.0	12.6	0.45	14.6	15.2	-0.57
Robin Lopez	14	14	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	3	-9	11.8	12.9	-1.09	15.5	14.9	0.62
Ish Smith	17	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	3	-9	11.5	13.0	-1.51	15.9	14.8	1.17
Raul Neto	46	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-6	9	12.4	13.0	-0.57	15.0	14.9	0.11
Thomas Bryant	75	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-6	9	13.0	12.1	0.82	14.6	15.9	-1.32
Bradley Beal	76	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.43	3	-6	9	12.5	13.3	-0.76	15.3	14.2	1.02
Russell Westbrook	87	87	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.32	-10	7	-17	12.8	12.4	0.45	14.7	16.5	-1.87
Davis Bertans	46	50	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.11	-18	15	-33	11.5	13.7	-2.21	14.7	15.2	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.42,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.45,0.81,0.45,0.45,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 106, SAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.22,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.41,0.46,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.26,0	90.5%
CHI 100, SEA 97	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.28,0.45,0.45,0.24,0.26,0	90.2%
DEN 103, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.13,0.23,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.68,0.28,0.33,0.28,0	90.1%