NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	100		Excitement	10.7 [47]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +35.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	97		Comeback	2.1 [277]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -62.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.2,0.35	0.08	0.26	-0.02	17	61%	0.39	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Eric Piatkowski	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	59%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	8	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Jannero Pargo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.11,0.06,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.05	0.01	15	59%	0.06	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.07
Adrian Griffin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	3	71%	0.01	3	-0.15	11	73%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.18	-0.11	0.00	17	26%	-0.22	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,0,0.23	0.23	0.02	0.21	0.00	8	53%	0.23	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.10	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	10	45%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.38	-0.38	-0.17	-0.24	-0.03	16	41%	-0.21	5	-0.17	9	78%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.03,-0.1,-0.63	-0.63	0.01	-0.62	0.02	21	56%	-0.50	3	-0.13	6	67%	-0.24

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	587.1	2.0	35.2	-701.3	29.9	0.2	42.0	-5.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +61.5%

CHI +12.0%

SEA -19.4%

SEA -3.6%

SEA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SEA	NBA	CHI	SEA	NBA
this game	14.3	16.3	15.5	106.4	103.2	104.0
season	15.1	16.5		100.1	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.4		107.9	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.4	13.0	14.4	14.7	14.3
SEA	15.2	15.2	18.4	16.7	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	52	52	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.39	5	-2	7	13.7	15.1	-1.49	15.8	17.0	-1.14
Eddy Curry	66	64	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.39	2	1	1	14.8	13.2	1.52	17.2	14.4	2.82
Chris Duhon	60	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.42	-3	6	-9	15.1	12.9	2.16	16.8	15.4	1.38
Kirk Hinrich	85	85	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.52	-8	11	-19	14.2	15.4	-1.24	16.1	18.7	-2.60
Eric Piatkowski	30	31	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	-6	15	13.6	14.7	-1.11	17.8	15.6	2.22
Adrian Griffin	21	20	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	-7	17	13.5	14.6	-1.09	17.1	16.1	0.99
Ben Gordon	36	37	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	-7	17	14.6	14.1	0.47	17.3	15.7	1.61
Othella Harrington	12	12	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	-3	9	12.0	14.7	-2.66	14.8	16.5	-1.70
Andres Nocioni	50	48	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.40	-9	12	-21	14.2	14.5	-0.30	14.1	18.6	-4.53
Jannero Pargo	2	1	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	2	-1	3.5	14.6	-11.05	4.0	16.5	-12.45
Antonio Davis	56	59	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.08	-8	11	-19	15.3	12.9	2.39	16.3	16.3	-0.04

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	47	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.19	5	-8	13	15.9	16.7	-0.77	14.9	13.7	1.22
Vitaly Potapenko	4	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-1	-1	13.0	16.5	-3.47	9.2	14.5	-5.29
Reggie Evans	52	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-2	1	16.8	15.7	1.14	15.0	13.6	1.37
Antonio Daniels	49	49	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.07	-6	3	-9	15.4	17.3	-1.82	13.3	15.4	-2.07
Nick Collison	37	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-1	-1	16.6	16.2	0.41	14.4	14.3	0.11
Vladimir Radmanovic	45	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	0	-3	16.0	16.6	-0.57	13.7	14.9	-1.21
Rashard Lewis	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-4	5	16.5	15.4	1.06	14.5	13.1	1.41
Luke Ridnour	80	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-3	3	16.6	14.7	1.89	14.8	11.6	3.23
Ray Allen	78	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.40	-7	4	-11	16.5	15.4	1.14	14.0	15.8	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.28,0.45,0.45,0.24,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 112, MIL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.53,0.45,0.35,0.16,0	91.7%
DEN 108, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.27,0.53,0.64,0.33,0.09,0	91.6%
DET 98, IND 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.04,0	91.0%