inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 98 Excitement7.5 [303] MVPRichard Hamilton (DET): +19.1%
Indiana Pacers 92 Comeback1.6 [749] LVPTroy Murphy (IND): -18.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0.190,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.190.130.080.021571%0.291-0.104100%0.03
Jason Maxiell0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.010.00475%0.101-0.03875%0.01
Jarvis Hayes0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.010.00487%0.0600.0000%0.00
Rodney Stuckey0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.03-0.00850%0.071-0.032100%0.02
Antonio McDyess0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02-0.050.07-0.01935%0.0200.00862%-0.06
Arron Afflalo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.02750%-0.0100.006100%0.03
Rasheed Wallace-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.02-0.011142%0.012-0.03250%-0.01
Chauncey Billups-0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.05-0.04-0.010.001550%0.023-0.074100%0.02

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Granger0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.070.040.011168%0.141-0.0300%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.080.080.11-0.000.03882%0.142-0.056100%0.04
Andre Owens0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.010.004100%0.142-0.072100%0.01
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02645%0.042-0.08862%-0.03
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.010.0020%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Ike Diogu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.02-0.00633%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.07-0.01945%-0.021-0.05450%-0.04
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.060.001848%-0.032-0.056100%0.08
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19-0.19-0.09-0.090.011030%-0.112-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.61.633.516.024.02.735.5137.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +32.3%
DET +3.0%
DET +0.3%
DET +9.9%
DET +4.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETINDNBADETINDNBA
this game17.014.815.4107.7102.2105.7
season16.813.8108.8104.5
opponent15.215.8105.6101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET18.415.416.718.017.0
IND17.613.415.313.314.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasheed Wallace67660.67-0.170.850.3810-41416.817.7-0.8615.812.03.84
Antonio McDyess70680.480.020.460.4224-218.113.54.5614.814.60.19
Chauncey Billups66650.470.030.440.3060616.917.4-0.4515.612.62.96
Tayshaun Prince59580.360.140.220.2151417.316.60.6315.513.51.98
Richard Hamilton74730.330.170.150.3306-617.614.62.9314.814.80.02
Rodney Stuckey34340.140.36-0.220.0533016.817.2-0.3812.616.1-3.47
Jarvis Hayes32320.100.40-0.300.1006-616.617.3-0.6313.515.5-1.98
Arron Afflalo880.060.44-0.38-0.0333014.017.3-3.3317.214.52.71
Jason Maxiell4546-0.110.61-0.72-0.1415-415.718.3-2.5713.216.4-3.15

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Foster2022-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-4214.714.8-0.1017.217.00.20
Mike Dunleavy5961-0.16-0.340.18-0.07-3-3015.114.11.0416.019.1-3.03
Andre Owens4242-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-3016.013.72.2917.416.70.73
Troy Murphy6969-0.25-0.250.01-0.250-6614.316.5-2.2216.618.4-1.75
Danny Granger6766-0.25-0.250.00-0.19-2-4214.116.7-2.5217.515.71.81
Jermaine O'Neal7069-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.380-6615.013.81.1917.415.91.48
Ike Diogu2122-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.05-115-1615.714.51.1617.117.00.08
Marquis Daniels5253-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.27-5-1-414.015.8-1.8016.917.3-0.40
Kareem Rush5051-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.34-4-2-215.014.50.4617.416.50.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 108, BOS 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.17,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.16,0.06,0.16,092.4%
DET 95, SAS 860.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.02,092.4%
OKC 100, MEM 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.32,0.16,0.09,0.02,092.1%