NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	100		Excitement	6.8 [349]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +15.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	1.7 [619]		LVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): -15.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.16	0.09	0.03	-0.03	20	60%	0.16	2	-0.01	10	60%	-0.05
Thabo Sefolosha	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	4	120%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	8	50%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Daequan Cook	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.03	0.01	4	67%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	7	43%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Durant	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	0.04	20	46%	-0.03	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.00	7	71%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.00	16	53%	0.08	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.04	4	100%	0.07	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	0.00	13	52%	0.00	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.02	21	34%	-0.05	2	-0.11	5	20%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	29.8	15.7	26.3	2.5	35.5	136.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +25.1%

OKC +13.4%

OKC +17.2%

MEM -3.8%

MEM -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MEM	NBA	OKC	MEM	NBA
this game	14.9	16.4	15.6	108.7	103.3	102.8
season	14.7	15.6		107.9	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.8		100.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.4	16.0	14.7	15.7	14.9
MEM	17.9	15.3	16.7	15.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	73	72	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-6	17	14.5	16.7	-2.27	16.6	15.6	0.92
Kevin Durant	83	83	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.34	8	-3	11	14.3	21.0	-6.72	16.4	16.1	0.29
James Harden	55	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	1	3	15.5	14.0	1.52	15.9	17.1	-1.28
Kendrick Perkins	57	57	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	3	-1	14.2	16.1	-1.86	16.5	16.2	0.23
Daequan Cook	31	32	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.23	1	4	-3	18.2	13.3	4.87	16.6	16.2	0.34
Nick Collison	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	1	3	15.8	14.2	1.65	16.3	16.4	-0.11
Thabo Sefolosha	45	45	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	6	-7	13.4	16.4	-2.92	16.1	16.6	-0.55
Serge Ibaka	40	39	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	6	-7	14.1	15.6	-1.43	16.9	16.0	0.96
Nazr Mohammed	15	15	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	2	1	16.5	14.6	1.83	16.9	16.3	0.59
Reggie Jackson	19	20	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	11	-17	16.7	14.5	2.27	15.6	16.6	-0.92

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quincy Pondexter	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-8	11	14.3	17.4	-3.11	15.4	14.7	0.67
Marreese Speights	38	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-4	3	17.8	15.4	2.42	14.4	15.3	-0.83
Jeremy Pargo	15	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	0	-5	15.1	16.6	-1.48	12.1	15.4	-3.29
Dante Cunningham	47	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	8	-21	16.1	16.7	-0.58	14.3	15.6	-1.35
O.J. Mayo	43	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-6	7	16.1	16.6	-0.52	15.8	14.2	1.61
Marc Gasol	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.40	2	-7	9	16.2	17.8	-1.65	15.3	12.1	3.23
Mike Conley	77	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-5	5	16.6	15.1	1.48	15.4	12.1	3.29
Tony Allen	53	53	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	1	-7	17.3	15.1	2.20	15.4	14.3	1.18
Rudy Gay	74	75	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.28	-6	1	-7	16.4	16.2	0.18	14.1	18.4	-4.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.32,0.16,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.02,0	93.4%
PHI 93, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.28,0.1,0.21,0.1,0.15,0	92.9%
PHX 97, MEM 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.34,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.15,0.16,0	92.9%