NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	93		Excitement	6.4 [491]		MVP	Elliot Perry (MIL): +8.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	89		Comeback	1.7 [447]		LVP	Theo Ratliff (PHI): -19.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	19	49%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Eric Snow	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Brian Shaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0	0.04	-0.03	0.02	18	66%	0.16	4	-0.16	5	60%	-0.02
Benoit Benjamin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	8	54%	-0.02	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.05	0.01	12	37%	-0.09	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Perry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	14	75%	0.19	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Litterial Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	19	57%	0.08	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.11	0.01	13	64%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	37%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.07
Ricky Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	6	21%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.18,-0.14,-0.19,-0.15,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	16	44%	-0.05	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.1	1.6	27.2	14.4	24.4	1.6	30.7	133.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +9.6%

PHI +12.3%

PHI +20.0%

PHI +2.8%

PHI +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.6	100.0	98.9	102.5
season	15.4	16.0		99.7	101.1
opponent	15.1	15.5		102.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.3	13.7	15.9	15.6	15.1
MIL	16.0	16.3	15.4	18.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Shaw	53	51	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	3	-2	13.9	16.7	-2.81	17.2	15.3	1.88
Benoit Benjamin	33	32	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.09	10	-6	16	13.5	16.0	-2.45	17.9	15.6	2.39
Tim Thomas	53	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-9	22	15.6	14.4	1.27	16.0	16.9	-0.95
Allen Iverson	79	77	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.38	-2	6	-8	15.4	13.5	1.88	15.8	20.2	-4.48
Eric Snow	36	34	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	-3	10	13.7	16.0	-2.29	17.1	16.0	1.06
Theo Ratliff	78	76	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.36	-2	6	-8	15.3	14.0	1.31	16.1	18.0	-1.89
Joe Smith	73	70	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.31	-2	6	-8	16.0	11.9	4.07	16.3	16.7	-0.45
Aaron McKie	60	58	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.32	-5	9	-14	15.7	14.0	1.65	16.2	16.8	-0.64

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	14	14	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-6	8	16.6	16.4	0.20	15.6	15.0	0.64
Ervin Johnson	29	31	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-1	-2	15.8	16.7	-0.95	16.5	14.4	2.03
Andrew Lang	5	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	0	-4	20.4	16.2	4.24	10.5	15.3	-4.80
Litterial Green	8	8	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	4	-12	17.0	16.3	0.66	12.5	15.3	-2.84
Elliot Perry	78	81	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.41	7	-11	18	16.2	17.7	-1.56	15.6	11.6	4.03
Ricky Pierce	16	18	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	1	-6	18.0	16.1	1.95	11.6	15.9	-4.32
Jamie Feick	55	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-7	10	16.6	16.1	0.51	15.2	15.0	0.21
Armen Gilliam	70	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-2	0	16.0	17.8	-1.86	15.0	15.4	-0.41
Michael Curry	85	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	2	-8	16.4	16.4	0.00	15.2	13.4	1.80
Ray Allen	90	93	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	16.4	0.0	16.40	15.1	0.0	15.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.28,0.1,0.21,0.1,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 95, BKN 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.11,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.4%
HOU 97, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.13,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.04,0	93.4%
SAS 97, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.19,0.28,0.19,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.1%