NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	6.0 [614]		MVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): +21.1%
Brooklyn Nets	88		Comeback	1.9 [436]		LVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): -13.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.21	0.12	0.10	0.00	15	62%	0.21	1	-0.00	9	89%	0.04
Dante Exum	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.02	6	117%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	11	55%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elijah Millsap	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.00	4	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.03	16	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Rodney Hood	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	7	79%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Cory Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.12,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	17	49%	0.08	1	-0.07	5	60%	-0.05
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.04	0.06	17	56%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	0.04	5	70%	0.02	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.5	2.3	24.6	15.4	25.4	2.4	31.6	121.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +10.9%

UTA +23.8%

UTA +20.7%

BKN -5.3%

BKN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BKN	NBA	UTA	BKN	NBA
this game	18.4	14.7	15.1	108.0	102.3	104.2
season	16.2	15.3		103.8	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.8	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.2	19.5	18.8	16.4	18.4
BKN	15.1	15.6	14.6	13.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	67	66	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.28	17	-10	27	18.5	18.0	0.47	15.1	13.2	1.83
Elijah Millsap	38	39	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-7	21	16.3	20.0	-3.68	15.1	14.3	0.78
Trey Burke	38	38	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-5	17	17.2	19.3	-2.16	14.8	14.5	0.29
Gordon Hayward	60	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	6	-5	19.0	17.2	1.75	14.0	16.0	-1.95
Rudy Gobert	67	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	6	-5	18.6	17.9	0.66	14.2	15.9	-1.66
Joe Ingles	39	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	1	5	20.7	16.6	4.05	15.6	13.9	1.70
Dante Exum	50	48	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	12	-17	19.3	17.2	2.16	14.5	14.8	-0.29
Rodney Hood	39	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.15	-6	13	-19	17.3	19.3	-1.93	14.2	15.0	-0.74
Trevor Booker	42	41	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	12	-17	18.0	18.8	-0.83	14.6	14.7	-0.08

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Jefferson	28	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-8	9	15.1	14.4	0.73	18.3	18.5	-0.18
Markel Brown	28	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-5	3	16.3	13.9	2.42	20.5	17.4	3.07
Brook Lopez	62	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.23	2	-9	11	14.8	14.2	0.61	18.9	16.9	2.03
Joe Johnson	61	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-11	15	14.2	15.8	-1.56	18.7	17.5	1.25
Alan Anderson	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-2	-3	15.5	14.1	1.35	17.7	18.8	-1.18
Deron Williams	53	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-5	3	14.2	15.4	-1.25	19.0	17.5	1.48
Bojan Bogdanovic	38	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	0	-7	14.6	14.7	-0.18	18.4	18.4	-0.09
Mason Plumlee	24	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-9	2	-11	14.2	14.8	-0.61	16.9	18.9	-2.03
Thaddeus Young	58	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	1	-9	14.4	15.1	-0.73	18.5	18.3	0.18
Jarrett Jack	46	46	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.24	-9	2	-11	14.3	15.0	-0.75	16.6	20.4	-3.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.34,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.11,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 105, LAL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.18,0.24,0.32,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.07,0,0,0	93.6%
PHI 93, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.28,0.1,0.21,0.1,0.15,0	93.4%
ATL 120, MIL 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.11,0.05,0.04,0	93.2%