NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	6.9 [463]		MVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): +18.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	91		Comeback	2.1 [316]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -22.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	15	78%	0.28	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Quentin Richardson	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.04	0.01	11	69%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	16	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	6	76%	0.05	5	-0.16	5	80%	0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22	-0.17	-0.05	0.00	20	35%	-0.04	5	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.01	0.02	10	83%	0.16	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	9	70%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Antonio Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.03	13	68%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	10	24%	-0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19	-0.19	-0.04	-0.13	0.02	16	43%	-0.16	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.13	-0.07	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	35.0	16.6	26.3	3.3	38.7	148.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.3%

PHX +8.5%

PHX +16.7%

MEM -20.0%

MEM -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	12.6	17.6	15.5	104.3	93.8	104.0
season	13.5	16.4		112.9	103.7
opponent	15.5	16.0		101.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.9	11.6	11.7	14.3	12.6
MEM	18.4	16.6	18.1	17.6	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	78	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-7	20	12.0	14.6	-2.65	18.3	14.8	3.48
Joe Johnson	87	90	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.30	10	-4	14	12.2	18.2	-5.98	17.7	16.9	0.84
Shawn Marion	89	92	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-2	10	12.6	12.5	0.07	17.7	16.8	0.88
Quentin Richardson	75	78	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.29	6	0	6	12.0	15.0	-3.01	17.5	18.1	-0.51
Steve Nash	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	1	4	11.9	14.7	-2.77	17.8	17.1	0.68
Leandro Barbosa	23	27	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	5	-4	14.7	11.9	2.77	17.1	17.8	-0.68
Jim Jackson	24	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	10	-14	15.8	11.4	4.34	17.7	17.6	0.13
Steven Hunter	25	24	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.02	-9	15	-24	14.3	11.9	2.34	15.2	18.4	-3.17

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	21	21	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-10	14	15.2	18.3	-3.06	13.7	12.2	1.42
Pau Gasol	23	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-7	8	17.6	17.6	-0.04	15.5	11.8	3.72
Bonzi Wells	26	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-7	8	16.3	18.1	-1.82	14.5	11.9	2.55
Shane Battier	69	64	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-11	16	18.3	16.1	2.20	13.1	11.4	1.73
Antonio Burks	8	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-1	-4	18.7	17.5	1.21	15.3	12.4	2.95
James Posey	74	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-3	0	17.1	19.4	-2.30	12.5	12.8	-0.33
Lorenzen Wright	72	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.32	-4	-2	-2	17.9	17.0	0.92	12.1	14.2	-2.09
Brian Cardinal	48	47	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	9	-24	17.5	17.7	-0.19	11.3	13.8	-2.49
Jason Williams	68	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.25	-7	1	-8	18.2	16.2	2.04	12.0	14.0	-2.07
Mike Miller	76	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	1	-8	17.9	16.7	1.18	12.1	14.7	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.31,0.3,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.13,0.34,0.22,0.2,0.29,0.15,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 113, LAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.13,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.15,0.02,0	92.9%
CLE 101, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.02,0	92.9%
OKC 100, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.29,0.22,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.22,0.32,0.16,0.09,0.02,0	92.9%