NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	113		Excitement	7.1 [389]		MVP	Matt Bullard (HOU): +27.2%
Los Angeles Clippers	109		Comeback	1.6 [544]		LVP	Malik Sealy (LAC): -14.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.27	0.18	0.10	0.01	11	92%	0.33	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	95%	0.17	5	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Eddie Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	13	69%	0.11	4	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Kevin Willis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.08,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	13	62%	0.14	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Sedale Threatt	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	41%	-0.03	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Randy Livingston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	9	43%	-0.01	4	-0.09	3	33%	-0.04

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Loy Vaught	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.02	15	68%	0.14	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	15	68%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.02	10	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	60%	-0.02	1	-0.03	11	45%	-0.08
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	8	28%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	13	42%	-0.04	4	-0.11	5	60%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.2	1.7	29.0	14.8	27.4	1.6	39.0	147.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +66.3%

HOU +3.9%

HOU +10.6%

LAC -25.8%

LAC -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	14.7	15.6	115.3	116.0	104.4
season	15.5	15.8		107.2	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.4		105.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.4	16.6	13.7	18.0	15.3
LAC	16.8	14.0	14.6	13.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bullard	76	74	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.34	13	-9	22	14.8	17.0	-2.22	14.6	14.9	-0.37
Mario Elie	76	74	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.32	12	-8	20	15.1	16.3	-1.22	14.8	14.2	0.58
Hakeem Olajuwon	87	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	2	0	15.9	10.9	4.98	14.3	17.0	-2.68
Kevin Willis	76	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	1	2	15.4	15.0	0.36	15.1	13.3	1.85
Matt Maloney	65	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-7	18	15.0	16.0	-0.97	14.6	14.8	-0.23
Othella Harrington	33	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	2	0	13.7	16.2	-2.50	15.0	14.5	0.49
Randy Livingston	39	39	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.35	-8	12	-20	16.7	14.4	2.27	13.9	15.2	-1.21
Sedale Threatt	16	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	10	-16	14.6	15.5	-0.84	15.3	14.5	0.74
Eddie Johnson	22	20	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.05	-9	13	-22	17.0	14.8	2.22	14.9	14.6	0.37

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	33	34	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.31	12	-16	28	12.6	15.8	-3.16	17.8	14.0	3.82
Brent Barry	46	48	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.40	13	-17	30	14.0	15.3	-1.33	17.0	13.7	3.24
Bo Outlaw	71	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-3	2	14.4	15.4	-1.03	16.1	13.2	2.85
Rodney Rogers	55	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-10	16	13.9	15.7	-1.81	16.2	14.0	2.24
Lorenzen Wright	69	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	6	-16	15.8	11.4	4.44	14.3	18.2	-3.86
Darrick Martin	48	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	9	-22	15.4	13.8	1.59	13.5	17.3	-3.71
Malik Sealy	62	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.05	-17	13	-30	15.5	13.0	2.52	13.8	18.2	-4.40
Loy Vaught	86	89	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.36	-10	6	-16	14.5	16.4	-1.87	15.2	16.8	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.13,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 101, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.13,0.19,0.09,0.03,0.16,0.1,0.01,0	93.6%
CHI 94, HOU 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.15,0	93.4%
LAC 101, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.02,0,0	93.1%