NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	116		Excitement	7.5 [330]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (GSW): +29.4%
Detroit Pistons	106		Comeback	3.3 [499]		LVP	Mason Plumlee (DET): -25.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.12	0.16	-0.02	19	64%	0.35	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Brad Wanamaker	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.01	5	53%	0.14	0	0.00	7	71%	0.00
Eric Paschall	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	4	71%	0.11	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Stephen Curry	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.07	0.04	17	74%	0.29	8	-0.19	8	100%	0.03
Kevon Looney	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	2	33%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	61%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Damion Lee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	83%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mychal Mulder	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	1	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
James Wiseman	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sekou Doumbouya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.00	4	75%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.09	0.02	21	55%	0.20	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	4	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	18	39%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	9	55%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	14	47%	-0.01	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.14	-0.12	0.00	5	14%	-0.13	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	1.8	32.6	15.8	31.4	2.4	38.5	150.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +66.1%

GSW +1.5%

DET -7.2%

DET -9.4%

DET -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DET	NBA	GSW	DET	NBA
this game	12.7	16.0	14.4	113.7	107.1	111.3
season	13.5	15.0		109.9	107.0
opponent	14.2	14.5		111.6	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.8	14.1	11.8	12.5	12.7
DET	18.0	17.8	14.0	14.8	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Wiseman	45	45	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.13	23	-13	36	13.4	12.1	1.34	16.2	15.9	0.35
Andrew Wiggins	81	78	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.20	19	-9	28	12.5	13.5	-0.98	16.6	13.8	2.85
Juan Toscano-Anderson	51	50	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.27	15	-5	20	12.6	12.8	-0.25	16.6	15.4	1.15
Damion Lee	39	37	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	1	8	13.7	12.0	1.70	16.0	16.0	0.03
Brad Wanamaker	35	35	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	6	-2	13.9	12.1	1.77	17.1	15.4	1.62
Kelly Oubre Jr.	63	61	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	2	6	12.4	13.2	-0.87	15.6	16.6	-0.97
Stephen Curry	76	75	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	7	-4	12.1	14.3	-2.21	15.4	17.8	-2.41
Eric Paschall	29	28	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	13	-16	12.3	12.8	-0.54	14.4	16.6	-2.21
Jordan Poole	18	17	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	14	-18	15.7	12.0	3.67	19.1	15.4	3.75
Kevon Looney	48	45	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.06	-10	20	-30	11.7	13.6	-1.94	16.0	16.0	-0.06
Mychal Mulder	25	24	-0.40	0.90	-1.29	0.02	-14	24	-38	11.8	13.0	-1.19	13.4	16.8	-3.42

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Stewart	48	52	0.26	-0.76	1.03	-0.03	10	-20	30	14.8	17.1	-2.32	12.2	13.2	-0.99
Blake Griffin	31	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-11	12	19.8	14.3	5.48	14.6	11.9	2.74
Derrick Rose	56	60	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.18	8	-18	26	14.7	17.7	-2.90	12.1	13.6	-1.53
Saddiq Bey	32	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-12	14	16.1	16.0	0.12	11.6	13.2	-1.66
Svi Mykhailiuk	25	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-10	10	14.8	16.4	-1.67	12.7	12.7	0.01
Killian Hayes	34	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.14	-9	-1	-8	17.7	15.1	2.63	14.3	12.0	2.31
Sekou Doumbouya	20	22	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-7	4	16.0	16.0	0.05	12.9	12.6	0.27
Delon Wright	61	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-5	0	14.8	18.0	-3.27	12.2	13.5	-1.28
Josh Jackson	59	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.06	-16	6	-22	16.5	15.2	1.32	12.8	12.5	0.28
Jerami Grant	78	79	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.07	-18	8	-26	15.6	17.5	-1.92	12.5	13.3	-0.84
Mason Plumlee	51	50	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.18	-20	10	-30	17.1	14.8	2.32	13.2	12.2	0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.65,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.29,0.32,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.37,0.15,0.05,0,0,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, MIN 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.57,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	92.3%
PHX 120, NOH 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.1%
SAS 95, CHA 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.12,0.19,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	91.9%