NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	120		Excitement	6.5 [408]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +16.8%
New Orleans Hornets	103		Comeback	4.3 [196]		LVP	Trevor Ariza (NOH): -12.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.17	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.23	0.01	0.07	16	86%	0.20	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.06	-0.02	10	68%	0.21	3	-0.06	14	79%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0.11	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	9	56%	0.11	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Josh Childress	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	80%	0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Channing Frye	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.01	0.04	9	70%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Ronnie Price	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.07	0.02	7	53%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sebastian Telfair	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	47%	0.06	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Grant Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	7	62%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.03	0.03	10	87%	0.28	4	-0.19	3	100%	0.06
Jason Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.01	9	84%	0.17	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	-0.01	-0.04	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	0.00	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	13	48%	-0.01	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	30.5	15.8	29.0	1.0	31.0	133.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH -20.8%

PHX +23.7%

PHX +10.1%

PHX +34.5%

PHX +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NOH	NBA	PHX	NOH	NBA
this game	14.5	16.4	15.6	129.0	110.8	102.8
season	15.0	16.3		104.7	99.2
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.4	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.8	14.6	13.1	14.7	14.5
NOH	18.5	16.0	16.9	14.7	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	55	56	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.19	29	-12	41	14.8	14.1	0.67	17.2	15.4	1.81
Ronnie Price	34	34	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.08	19	-2	21	13.3	15.3	-1.99	13.8	18.0	-4.22
Marcin Gortat	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.09	19	-2	21	13.9	17.3	-3.39	16.3	17.1	-0.83
Jared Dudley	70	71	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.05	17	0	17	14.2	15.5	-1.32	16.9	14.8	2.13
Channing Frye	64	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.16	19	-2	21	14.4	14.9	-0.54	17.1	14.9	2.24
Hakim Warrick	19	20	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	15	-13	15.7	14.2	1.52	16.2	16.5	-0.31
Josh Childress	37	38	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	12	-7	14.6	14.4	0.20	18.2	15.2	3.04
Shannon Brown	23	22	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	17	-17	15.5	14.2	1.32	14.8	16.9	-2.13
Markieff Morris	20	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.11	-5	22	-27	16.4	14.0	2.45	14.7	16.9	-2.21
Robin Lopez	7	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	18	-19	14.0	14.6	-0.57	17.1	16.4	0.76
Grant Hill	23	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	22	-27	15.6	14.2	1.38	16.8	16.3	0.51
Sebastian Telfair	37	35	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.14	-14	31	-45	14.5	14.5	-0.02	15.7	16.9	-1.21

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	23	22	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-20	23	16.5	16.4	0.11	16.5	13.9	2.52
Greivis Vasquez	55	57	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-20	23	15.5	17.8	-2.32	14.6	14.4	0.18
Jason Smith	66	67	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.16	-8	-9	1	16.3	16.7	-0.32	15.2	12.7	2.49
Gustavo Ayon	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-17	17	14.5	17.6	-3.04	14.8	14.3	0.48
Marco Belinelli	46	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-15	13	16.1	16.8	-0.66	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Carl Landry	27	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-14	11	17.0	16.2	0.84	13.2	15.1	-1.89
Trevor Ariza	64	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.13	-15	-2	-13	16.7	15.8	0.94	14.1	15.4	-1.29
DaJuan Summers	30	28	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	-4	-9	18.3	15.6	2.74	14.6	14.5	0.11
Emeka Okafor	58	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.11	-23	6	-29	17.4	14.8	2.59	14.2	15.1	-0.95
Jarrett Jack	61	61	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	0.02	-27	10	-37	16.3	16.7	-0.42	14.1	15.2	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.54,0.59,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, PHX 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0	92.8%
MIA 81, ORL 59	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.17,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	92.6%
BOS 113, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.63,0.57,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.42,0.28,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%