NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	5.8 [631]		MVP	Dario Saric (PHX): +17.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	121		Comeback	1.4 [766]		LVP	Aron Baynes (PHX): -17.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.03	0.03	16	71%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cheick Diallo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	0.00	0.08	10	68%	0.08	5	-0.11	11	100%	0.04
Ty Jerome	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.03	0.03	6	67%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	25	48%	-0.00	4	-0.09	10	90%	0.02
Aron Baynes	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	14	25%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	20	52%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	12	64%	0.09	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.02	0.06	12	79%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.02	0.08	17	66%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	3	133%	0.15	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.07	16	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Wenyen Gabriel	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Caleb Swanigan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.5	25.6	14.5	25.4	2.4	30.6	124.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +46.1%

PHX -4.2%

POR +0.5%

POR +11.3%

PHX -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	13.9	14.2	105.0	119.8	109.6
season	14.1	14.4		110.9	111.9
opponent	13.9	14.1		113.5	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.9	14.1	13.9	15.2	14.8
POR	13.5	13.1	15.5	13.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elie Okobo	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-16	16	15.3	14.7	0.60	12.0	14.0	-1.99
Cheick Diallo	26	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-17	18	15.2	14.6	0.55	14.2	13.8	0.37
Devin Booker	73	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	-9	2	14.7	14.8	-0.09	14.5	12.3	2.20
Dario Saric	81	83	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-6	-4	14.5	15.9	-1.41	14.1	13.1	1.04
Ty Jerome	34	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.06	-13	-3	-10	14.6	14.8	-0.29	12.2	14.7	-2.48
Jevon Carter	49	50	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-8	0	14.1	15.4	-1.23	13.3	14.5	-1.17
Aron Baynes	73	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	0	-16	15.0	14.1	0.82	13.3	15.5	-2.20
Ricky Rubio	73	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-4	-8	14.9	14.3	0.67	14.4	12.6	1.75
Mikal Bridges	88	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-1	-14	15.0	13.2	1.80	14.3	10.9	3.40

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	84	83	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.05	23	-7	30	14.2	12.7	1.45	14.9	14.2	0.62
CJ McCollum	75	75	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	0	16	14.4	12.6	1.74	14.7	14.8	-0.07
Hassan Whiteside	78	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-1	18	14.2	12.9	1.29	14.8	14.6	0.15
Trevor Ariza	76	75	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	4	8	14.4	12.3	2.17	14.6	15.3	-0.71
Mario Hezonja	30	32	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	13	-10	12.9	14.4	-1.49	14.6	14.8	-0.28
Carmelo Anthony	67	65	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.16	13	3	10	14.5	12.8	1.73	14.8	14.6	0.19
Anfernee Simons	25	25	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	12	-8	12.3	14.4	-2.17	15.3	14.6	0.71
Caleb Swanigan	23	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	17	-18	12.9	14.2	-1.29	14.6	14.8	-0.15
Wenyen Gabriel	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	12.0	14.0	-1.99	15.3	14.7	0.60
Nassir Little	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	16	-16	12.0	14.0	-1.99	15.3	14.7	0.60
Gary Trent Jr.	39	39	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	23	-30	12.7	14.7	-1.94	14.5	14.9	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 105, MIA 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
SAC 78, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
MIA 104, DEN 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%