NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	78		Excitement	5.1 [777]		MVP	Glen Davis (BOS): +10.3%
Boston Celtics	90		Comeback	1.6 [1164]		LVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): -15.3%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.08	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Mikki Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	10	43%	-0.00	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
John Salmons	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.00	-0.04	0.05	8	53%	-0.05	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.06	-0.02	19	40%	-0.02	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	6	73%	0.13	1	-0.03	10	100%	0.05
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.03	-0.03	13	54%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.05	15	62%	0.07	1	-0.00	12	92%	0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	10	40%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	5	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	31.8	15.6	26.5	2.4	29.5	131.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +12.1%

BOS +18.1%

SAC -21.3%

BOS +40.9%

BOS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	BOS	NBA	SAC	BOS	NBA
this game	17.0	17.3	15.4	91.8	108.4	105.7
season	14.9	15.6		105.6	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.0		98.3	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	17.2	16.7	16.6	17.4	17.0
BOS	17.0	17.6	16.9	17.7	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	35	36	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-10	8	17.4	16.7	0.77	18.3	16.6	1.70
Francisco Garcia	37	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-15	18	17.3	16.7	0.57	16.7	17.8	-1.10
Brad Miller	62	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-7	2	17.6	15.2	2.41	17.6	16.6	0.92
Beno Udrih	66	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-5	-2	17.1	16.6	0.44	17.7	16.0	1.66
Metta World Peace	72	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	-4	-4	17.0	16.6	0.43	17.8	14.8	3.02
Spencer Hawes	18	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-5	-2	15.8	17.3	-1.52	17.1	17.4	-0.26
Kenny Thomas	46	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-8	4	16.4	17.6	-1.18	16.8	17.9	-1.15
Quincy Douby	20	20	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-4	-4	16.0	17.3	-1.28	16.0	17.7	-1.66
John Salmons	69	66	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.13	-22	10	-32	16.8	17.8	-1.03	16.8	19.2	-2.42

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	78	79	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.09	18	-6	24	17.4	16.4	0.97	16.8	19.2	-2.36
Kevin Garnett	59	64	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.05	16	-4	20	17.3	17.4	-0.09	17.3	15.9	1.42
Eddie House	40	42	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	6	0	16.8	17.8	-0.94	16.6	17.3	-0.71
Ray Allen	61	61	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	2	8	17.1	17.8	-0.69	17.6	15.5	2.06
James Posey	33	36	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.06	8	4	4	16.3	18.0	-1.73	17.4	16.7	0.67
Tony Allen	21	22	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	9	-6	18.4	17.0	1.43	15.8	17.4	-1.62
Rajon Rondo	45	45	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	3	6	17.8	16.7	1.16	17.0	17.0	-0.04
Glen Davis	48	47	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.12	-3	15	-18	17.5	17.1	0.39	17.0	16.9	0.05
Leon Powe	10	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	14	-16	18.5	17.2	1.35	15.5	17.2	-1.64
Brian Scalabrine	20	18	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	17	-22	17.1	17.4	-0.28	16.9	17.0	-0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 85, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
PHI 81, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.6%
MIN 113, DEN 117	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	93.6%