NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	113		Excitement	6.5 [515]		MVP	Jose Juan Barea (MIN): +18.9%
Denver Nuggets	117		Comeback	2.2 [423]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -22.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Juan Barea	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.06	0.01	14	75%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	20	56%	0.11	4	-0.09	8	87%	0.02
Kevin Love	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.04	20	60%	0.08	3	-0.10	7	86%	-0.00
Robbie Hummel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Corey Brewer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	9	55%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.18	-0.06	-0.02	5	0%	-0.09	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.00	7	67%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	5	67%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.13	-0.01	0.02	9	79%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.03	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	12	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	8	56%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	11	48%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	10	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.01	16	41%	0.03	6	-0.17	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.8	25.4	17.3	30.8	2.7	40.5	146.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +29.6%

DEN +11.4%

DEN +5.0%

DEN +3.5%

DEN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DEN	NBA	MIN	DEN	NBA
this game	12.8	13.9	15.1	104.6	108.3	105.2
season	14.6	14.0		107.3	104.5
opponent	14.9	14.5		106.4	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.5	12.5	14.0	12.0	12.8
DEN	13.2	15.2	10.9	16.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robbie Hummel	25	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.12	2	-6	8	14.7	12.2	2.49	16.8	13.0	3.83
Nikola Pekovic	78	76	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	0	-4	13.1	11.8	1.34	13.9	13.9	0.03
Kevin Love	84	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-3	2	12.3	14.5	-2.28	12.8	17.7	-4.85
Jose Juan Barea	51	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-2	0	14.0	11.6	2.37	15.2	12.8	2.42
Kevin Martin	80	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.31	-1	-3	2	12.5	13.5	-1.04	14.0	13.7	0.30
Corey Brewer	86	86	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	0	-4	12.3	14.7	-2.46	13.0	17.5	-4.52
Ricky Rubio	83	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	2	-8	12.2	14.7	-2.49	13.0	16.8	-3.83
Dante Cunningham	53	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	0	-4	13.0	12.5	0.53	15.7	12.1	3.62

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Lawson	83	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	-4	12	13.1	16.5	-3.41	12.3	14.3	-1.97
Wilson Chandler	48	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	0	4	14.3	13.5	0.78	12.8	12.7	0.11
Evan Fournier	28	28	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.15	7	-3	10	13.4	14.1	-0.68	14.2	12.3	1.90
Nate Robinson	35	34	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	-2	8	16.0	12.9	3.15	14.7	11.9	2.83
Darrell Arthur	36	36	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	2	0	14.5	13.6	0.94	15.1	11.6	3.51
Timofey Mozgov	35	35	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	1	2	14.1	13.8	0.28	15.5	11.4	4.10
Kenneth Faried	72	72	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	2	0	13.6	14.5	-0.94	11.6	15.1	-3.51
Andre Miller	43	41	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.35	-6	10	-16	16.8	12.0	4.84	12.5	12.9	-0.41
JJ Hickson	73	72	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	5	-6	13.8	14.1	-0.28	11.4	15.4	-4.01
Jordan Hamilton	39	40	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	6	-8	12.7	14.6	-1.81	11.9	13.2	-1.30
Randy Foye	48	52	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	7	-10	11.9	15.5	-3.60	12.2	13.3	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.82,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 109, LAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.82,0.74,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.92,1	93.7%
DET 88, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,1	93.6%
SAC 78, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%