NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	85		Excitement	5.6 [655]		MVP	Ray Allen (MIL): +10.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	104		Comeback	1.4 [678]		LVP	Shammond Williams (BOS): -14.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	19	62%	0.14	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.03
J.R. Bremer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Wolkowyski	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Vin Baker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.04	-0.02	23	52%	0.03	6	-0.15	8	87%	0.02
Shammond Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	6	0%	-0.13	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	-0.01	0.04	19	70%	0.15	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	7	73%	0.13	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	13	68%	0.09	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.03
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Flip Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	12	54%	0.04	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	30.2	15.4	23.6	2.4	27.6	126.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +30.7%

MIL +3.9%

MIL +15.2%

MIL +0.6%

BOS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.6	15.5	88.5	109.5	101.6
season	15.6	15.4		99.3	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		106.5	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.9	14.0	16.9	13.4	14.5
MIL	14.3	18.0	14.4	15.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Bremer	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	12.8	14.6	-1.81	12.0	15.9	-3.88
Bruno Sundov	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-18	17	12.8	14.6	-1.81	12.0	15.9	-3.88
Ruben Wolkowyski	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	13.5	14.6	-1.08	14.2	15.7	-1.51
Walter McCarty	45	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-16	13	14.7	14.4	0.34	15.0	16.3	-1.29
Tony Delk	56	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.11	-9	-10	1	14.1	15.1	-0.93	16.9	13.9	3.03
Vin Baker	30	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-13	7	15.8	14.0	1.80	13.4	16.7	-3.28
Tony Battie	59	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-11	3	14.1	15.2	-1.03	17.6	12.7	4.90
Antoine Walker	77	75	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	-6	-7	14.5	14.7	-0.19	16.4	12.8	3.52
Shammond Williams	47	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	0	-19	14.9	14.2	0.67	13.6	17.6	-3.99
Paul Pierce	88	86	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	-4	-11	14.6	14.0	0.58	15.9	13.1	2.78
Eric Williams	62	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.12	-21	2	-23	14.6	14.3	0.32	15.4	16.1	-0.76

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	66	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.14	20	-1	21	14.9	17.4	-2.52	14.9	13.7	1.26
Dan Gadzuric	37	38	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.05	12	7	5	14.8	16.2	-1.43	16.0	13.6	2.43
Toni Kukoc	50	49	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.14	17	2	15	15.5	15.8	-0.32	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Ray Allen	67	72	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.25	20	-1	21	15.0	17.2	-2.29	14.6	14.4	0.15
Jason Caffey	21	19	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	13	-7	15.7	15.6	0.05	15.2	14.4	0.85
Michael Redd	39	38	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.07	9	10	-1	16.7	14.9	1.89	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Ervin Johnson	39	39	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	18	-17	16.8	14.8	2.06	13.6	15.1	-1.50
Anthony Mason	65	68	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.26	13	6	7	15.0	17.0	-2.00	14.6	14.4	0.14
Tim Thomas	52	52	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	19	-19	16.6	14.5	2.09	14.7	14.3	0.39
Kevin Ollie	29	30	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	20	-21	17.4	14.9	2.52	13.7	14.9	-1.26
Flip Murray	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	14.2	15.7	-1.51	13.5	14.6	-1.08
Marcus Haislip	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	20	-21	14.2	15.7	-1.51	12.6	14.6	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 83, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
SAC 78, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%
PHI 81, CHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.6%