NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	5.0 [767]		MVP	Mike Conley (UTA): +8.8%
Boston Celtics	94		Comeback	2.6 [339]		LVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (UTA): -14.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	16	76%	0.18	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	13	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	70%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	4	90%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Ingles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.10	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	15	34%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	9	38%	-0.05	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Romeo Langford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	17	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.06	-0.05	0.11	23	56%	-0.02	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Jayson Tatum	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	19	43%	-0.06	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	23.0	14.7	32.6	2.6	31.5	130.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +61.5%

BOS -4.2%

BOS -6.4%

BOS -2.2%

UTA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	BOS	NBA	UTA	BOS	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	14.2	104.2	96.9	109.6
season	14.9	14.5		112.1	112.0
opponent	14.4	14.2		105.8	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.2	15.8	15.9	16.6	15.6
BOS	15.8	15.5	14.8	11.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	59	60	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.11	22	-17	39	15.3	16.1	-0.82	14.7	13.8	0.97
Jordan Clarkson	52	53	0.74	-0.24	0.98	-0.02	26	-21	47	15.4	15.9	-0.46	15.3	13.3	2.03
Tony Bradley	32	33	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.12	24	-19	43	14.0	16.5	-2.46	14.5	14.3	0.11
Georges Niang	25	25	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.16	23	-18	41	13.3	16.5	-3.19	15.4	14.0	1.43
Mike Conley	72	73	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	0	5	15.0	17.7	-2.72	13.7	16.5	-2.76
Royce O'Neale	59	61	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.48	-17	22	-39	16.3	14.6	1.69	13.9	15.2	-1.29
Rudy Gobert	63	64	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.47	-19	24	-43	16.5	14.0	2.46	14.3	14.5	-0.11
Donovan Mitchell	63	64	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.47	-19	24	-43	16.5	14.0	2.46	14.3	14.5	-0.11
Bojan Bogdanovic	50	52	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.27	-20	25	-45	16.5	14.6	1.92	14.1	14.7	-0.66

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	56	53	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.39	19	-24	43	14.2	14.7	-0.52	15.7	15.5	0.19
Jayson Tatum	68	65	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.40	12	-17	29	14.2	14.8	-0.64	15.3	16.4	-1.12
Kemba Walker	55	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.36	10	-15	25	13.5	15.5	-1.93	16.0	15.1	0.83
Marcus Smart	75	73	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.37	10	-15	25	14.3	14.7	-0.39	16.2	13.9	2.30
Semi Ojeleye	66	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-9	13	15.3	12.5	2.74	16.4	14.1	2.33
Javonte Green	25	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.10	-4	-1	-3	13.5	14.7	-1.21	15.6	15.7	-0.11
Enes Kanter	10	9	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	8	-21	17.2	14.1	3.14	11.9	16.0	-4.13
Grant Williams	35	34	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	6	-17	13.9	14.7	-0.78	15.1	15.9	-0.85
Romeo Langford	11	10	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.12	-16	11	-27	17.0	14.0	2.95	12.6	16.0	-3.39
Robert Williams III	31	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	6	-17	13.9	14.6	-0.75	16.5	15.2	1.35
Brad Wanamaker	53	52	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.10	-25	20	-45	14.7	14.0	0.78	15.0	16.4	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.16,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.26,0.3,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
DEN 113, SAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
IND 93, MIA 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.4%