NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	113		Excitement	4.8 [871]		MVP	Linas Kleiza (DEN): +23.8%
Sacramento Kings	101		Comeback	2.4 [295]		LVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): -13.3%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.23	0.03	0.02	11	92%	0.24	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Yakhouba Diawara	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	17	56%	0.11	6	-0.08	9	78%	-0.01
Nene	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.03	0.04	24	52%	0.06	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.00
Jamal Sampson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	13	62%	0.08	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	10	30%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.13	-0.01	0.07	20	72%	0.16	5	-0.09	7	71%	-0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	9	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	0.02	0.09	14	53%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	55%	0.04	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	15	42%	-0.03	5	-0.10	10	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.5	32.3	17.7	27.3	3.4	30.7	140.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +32.7%

DEN +3.4%

DEN +11.8%

SAC -1.3%

DEN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAC	NBA	DEN	SAC	NBA
this game	14.3	13.7	15.4	109.7	98.1	104.5
season	14.0	14.7		105.8	104.7
opponent	15.1	15.3		106.0	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.2	13.4	15.7	15.0	14.3
SAC	12.5	15.4	14.9	12.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Linas Kleiza	70	71	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.08	19	-7	26	14.6	13.6	0.99	13.7	13.6	0.12
Eduardo Najera	58	58	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.13	23	-11	34	15.1	13.2	1.92	13.7	13.7	-0.06
Allen Iverson	77	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	-4	20	14.4	13.8	0.58	13.8	13.2	0.65
Nene	63	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	1	10	13.8	15.0	-1.17	14.7	11.9	2.79
Yakhouba Diawara	14	12	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	5	2	12.1	14.6	-2.56	11.9	13.9	-2.00
Carmelo Anthony	80	82	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	15	-18	14.6	13.2	1.37	14.0	12.6	1.33
Marcus Camby	73	72	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	12	-12	14.2	14.5	-0.36	13.3	14.6	-1.38
Steve Blake	74	73	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	15	-18	14.0	14.9	-0.86	13.3	14.6	-1.30
Jamal Sampson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	10.7	14.4	-3.72	8.5	13.8	-5.28
DerMarr Johnson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	10.7	14.4	-3.72	9.0	13.8	-4.82

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	79	79	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.27	10	-22	32	13.4	14.5	-1.02	14.5	13.7	0.75
Kenny Thomas	59	59	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	13.7	13.6	0.08	13.7	15.1	-1.45
Metta World Peace	84	85	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.34	8	-20	28	13.2	15.6	-2.39	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Mike Bibby	80	81	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.10	-4	-8	4	13.5	14.1	-0.58	13.9	15.5	-1.61
John Salmons	44	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-5	-2	13.0	14.2	-1.23	15.8	13.1	2.78
Kevin Martin	83	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.09	-10	-2	-8	14.0	12.3	1.65	13.7	17.0	-3.33
Francisco Garcia	34	31	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.00	-16	4	-20	14.1	13.5	0.61	15.4	13.8	1.63
Corliss Williamson	28	27	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.15	-22	10	-32	15.0	13.2	1.76	14.8	14.1	0.67
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	24	24	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.12	-22	10	-32	14.5	13.4	1.02	13.7	14.5	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, MIA 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
CHI 98, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.26,0.3,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
OKC 127, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%