NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	127		Excitement	5.9 [679]		MVP	Jerami Grant (OKC): +21.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	116		Comeback	1.8 [805]		LVP	Sterling Brown (MIL): -10.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.18	0.03	0.00	20	67%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.01	8	75%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	9	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.19	0.02	0.10	21	70%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	10	68%	0.13	4	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00
Deonte Burton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jawun Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	5	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Abdel Nader	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.02	-0.00	14	75%	0.20	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bonzie Colson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.04	16	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	20	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	31%	-0.02	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.05	-0.03	0.10	23	55%	-0.01	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.02
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	7	39%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	29.2	14.4	23.3	1.6	26.6	119.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +50.8%

OKC +0.8%

MIL -1.9%

OKC +2.6%

MIL -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MIL	NBA	OKC	MIL	NBA
this game	11.2	14.7	14.3	114.4	104.5	109.3
season	12.9	13.5		108.9	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.9		104.0	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	10.7	10.2	11.0	13.3	11.2
MIL	14.7	14.2	15.7	14.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	93	95	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.10	14	-3	17	10.9	12.8	-1.91	14.9	13.4	1.49
Jerami Grant	100	100	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	11.1	12.6	-1.56	14.8	13.6	1.19
Markieff Morris	57	58	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-2	15	11.6	10.9	0.71	15.3	14.1	1.18
Russell Westbrook	86	85	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	5	1	10.8	12.8	-1.97	14.5	15.3	-0.83
Terrance Ferguson	75	75	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	7	-3	11.1	11.6	-0.48	15.0	14.1	0.89
Abdel Nader	31	30	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	5	1	13.5	10.3	3.21	15.0	14.6	0.44
Raymond Felton	58	57	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.21	-1	12	-13	11.7	10.7	1.06	13.5	15.9	-2.40
Nerlens Noel	23	22	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.01	3	8	-5	9.3	11.7	-2.43	15.8	14.4	1.38
Steven Adams	30	31	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	12	-13	11.1	11.3	-0.18	13.7	15.1	-1.44
Deonte Burton	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	22.0	11.1	10.86	12.0	14.7	-2.74
Jawun Evans	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	22.0	11.1	10.86	12.0	14.7	-2.74

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	41	40	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.07	9	-20	29	14.0	15.1	-1.05	12.0	10.8	1.20
Ersan Ilyasova	53	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	-6	1	15.2	14.3	0.88	11.4	11.0	0.40
George Hill	45	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-9	7	13.6	15.5	-1.94	11.8	10.9	0.88
Pat Connaughton	42	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-2	-7	14.7	14.7	0.00	10.3	11.8	-1.52
Bonzie Colson	105	105	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	0	-11	14.5	17.7	-3.12	11.4	8.8	2.54
Tim Frazier	111	111	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	14.7	0.0	14.71	11.2	0.0	11.23
D.J. Wilson	107	105	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.16	-12	1	-13	15.0	7.5	7.48	11.3	9.8	1.48
Sterling Brown	51	51	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	3	-17	15.6	14.0	1.59	10.3	12.0	-1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.44,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 90, HOU 77	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	93.7%
PHI 107, MIN 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
SAS 108, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%