NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	98		Excitement	3.6 [864]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +17.8%
Atlanta Hawks	77		Comeback	1.8 [627]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -8.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.02	0.01	14	73%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
John Lucas III	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	12	68%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	13	62%	0.11	3	-0.07	6	67%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	6	25%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	45%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	11	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	56%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	14	43%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	58%	-0.00	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	21	42%	-0.03	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.0	27.2	16.4	25.2	1.4	28.6	124.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +43.2%

CHI +0.8%

CHI +7.1%

ATL -0.3%

ATL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	17.4	16.9	15.6	115.3	92.8	102.8
season	16.0	15.7		104.7	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.9		99.5	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.4	15.2	16.4	20.5	17.4
ATL	16.9	20.0	17.1	13.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	66	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	5	11	16.3	21.2	-4.89	17.1	16.2	0.91
John Lucas III	42	41	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.17	19	2	17	17.9	16.9	0.97	16.8	17.0	-0.17
Taj Gibson	43	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	4	13	17.8	17.0	0.82	17.2	16.6	0.60
Omer Asik	28	27	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.10	15	6	9	15.0	18.5	-3.58	16.9	16.9	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	67	65	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	8	5	17.6	16.5	1.10	17.3	15.6	1.67
Kyle Korver	36	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	10	1	19.1	16.1	2.98	15.9	17.7	-1.72
Carlos Boozer	54	54	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.06	8	13	-5	18.6	15.2	3.47	16.2	18.2	-1.93
Joakim Noah	44	43	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	21	-21	17.1	17.7	-0.61	17.5	16.3	1.24
CJ Watson	43	42	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	19	-17	16.9	17.9	-0.97	17.0	16.8	0.17
Brian Scalabrine	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	12.0	17.4	-5.43	15.0	16.9	-1.94
Jimmy Butler	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	19	-17	12.0	17.4	-5.43	15.0	16.9	-1.94

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-19	17	13.7	17.3	-3.64	24.1	16.6	7.55
Tracy McGrady	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.00	-3	-18	15	23.1	16.3	6.80	16.4	17.4	-1.02
Zaza Pachulia	56	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-18	15	17.2	16.4	0.75	16.9	18.4	-1.48
Joe Johnson	49	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-16	11	17.2	16.5	0.70	17.4	17.3	0.05
Kirk Hinrich	51	55	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-16	11	15.6	19.1	-3.49	16.7	18.7	-2.01
Jeff Teague	64	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-12	3	17.1	16.2	0.98	17.7	16.4	1.24
Ivan Johnson	21	21	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	-9	-3	16.4	17.1	-0.65	15.6	18.0	-2.38
Josh Smith	55	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-12	3	17.5	15.8	1.65	16.7	18.6	-1.80
Jason Collins	23	24	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	-6	-9	16.7	17.0	-0.24	18.8	16.8	2.05
Willie Green	36	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.16	-18	-3	-15	16.2	17.4	-1.18	17.8	17.0	0.84
Marvin Williams	44	44	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.21	-24	3	-27	17.4	16.4	0.95	17.6	17.1	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.26,0.3,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.16,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 95, NJN 69	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
SAS 112, WAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
MIA 103, MIN 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%