inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 103 Excitement4.3 [961] MVPRashard Lewis (MIA): +4.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves 82 Comeback1.7 [923] LVPRicky Rubio (MIN): -20.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.00-0.01771%0.082-0.0400%0.00
Ray Allen0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.00-0.03858%0.062-0.023100%0.01
Chris Bosh0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00850%0.0300.0000%0.00
LeBron James0.020,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.011272%0.167-0.14560%-0.02
Chris Andersen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.040.000.03564%0.0100.00425%-0.01
James Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.080.000.08590%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.000,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.000.01664%0.083-0.08250%-0.02
Dwyane Wade-0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.001458%0.115-0.125100%0.03
Shane Battier-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.01625%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Norris Cole-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.010.02633%-0.041-0.0300%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shabazz Muhammad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robbie Hummel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.083100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Alexey Shved0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.090.00-0.09312%-0.002-0.00250%0.00
A.J. Price0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Gorgui Dieng0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.000.03350%-0.0200.00475%0.00
Kevin Martin0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.011645%-0.021-0.001080%-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.020.00950%0.011-0.03475%-0.00
Dante Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.01-0.04922%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Corey Brewer0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.001050%0.023-0.06683%0.01
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.02517%-0.062-0.042100%0.00
Nikola Pekovic0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.010.021842%-0.043-0.07757%-0.04
Ricky Rubio0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.19-0.03-0.01410%-0.076-0.14250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.92.731.215.624.81.727.4131.4
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +65.0%
MIA +1.1%
MIN -10.9%
MIN -5.7%
MIA +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAMINNBAMIAMINNBA
this game13.215.315.1102.081.2105.2
season15.614.6109.7107.3
opponent14.515.8104.7105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.411.813.114.613.2
MIN14.312.619.616.015.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Bosh50520.490.010.47-0.041831512.513.8-1.3016.014.61.45
Norris Cole58580.450.050.41-0.1922-12312.813.7-0.9014.716.3-1.60
Rashard Lewis63620.410.090.31-0.182011912.414.4-1.9514.616.5-1.83
Dwyane Wade65660.350.150.21-0.09156913.213.20.0216.313.62.66
LeBron James65650.260.240.030.00912-313.313.00.2315.115.7-0.64
Mario Chalmers55560.230.27-0.050.05615-913.313.00.3715.415.20.25
Ray Allen48480.210.29-0.09-0.18138512.913.4-0.5013.616.9-3.34
Shane Battier35360.090.41-0.320.06120-1914.112.71.3917.114.32.80
Chris Andersen43420.010.49-0.47-0.16615-913.413.00.3413.916.4-2.45
James Jones760.000.50-0.50-0.03120-1914.613.11.5019.815.14.78
Udonis Haslem870.000.50-0.500.09-324-2716.212.93.3418.715.13.63
Roger Mason Jr.870.000.50-0.500.09-324-2716.212.93.3418.715.13.63

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shabazz Muhammad1010-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-222317.915.12.8516.012.93.13
Alexey Shved1516-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-222316.015.20.7815.912.73.28
A.J. Price1718-0.03-0.470.430.06-3-181517.414.92.5013.713.10.66
Gorgui Dieng2020-0.14-0.360.220.04-6-15915.515.30.2013.413.10.34
Luc Mbah a Moute5755-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-181515.315.3-0.0113.113.3-0.15
Kevin Martin7473-0.18-0.320.130.08-9-12315.016.1-1.1113.013.5-0.49
Robbie Hummel2324-0.22-0.280.060.01-8-13516.415.01.3714.912.62.23
Ricky Rubio5756-0.26-0.24-0.01-0.05-7-14715.814.71.1613.013.4-0.32
Corey Brewer6867-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.06-8-13515.215.5-0.3113.013.5-0.44
Nikola Pekovic8080-0.32-0.18-0.140.06-13-8-515.415.00.4313.013.8-0.74
Jose Juan Barea4445-0.34-0.16-0.170.28-210-2113.616.7-3.0512.613.6-1.04
Dante Cunningham4041-0.530.03-0.570.32-298-3714.615.8-1.2211.814.1-2.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.24,0.14,0.1,0.18,0.16,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.25,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 122, OKC 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.4%
DEN 96, GSW 810.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.4%
NOP 118, DET 1030.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%