NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	122		Excitement	4.5 [953]		MVP	Chris Paul (HOU): +18.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder	112		Comeback	1.9 [821]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -15.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.15	0.07	0.03	14	74%	0.22	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	8	75%	0.10	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	3	110%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Clint Capela	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
PJ Tucker	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	8	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	7	74%	0.04	4	-0.05	5	100%	0.00
James Harden	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	13	70%	0.16	10	-0.19	7	86%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.03	18	57%	0.12	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	9	76%	0.09	3	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dakari Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.03	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	0.07	16	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.04	0.05	27	57%	0.01	9	-0.16	2	100%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.0	27.1	16.5	23.2	2.8	44.0	142.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +52.4%

HOU +3.5%

OKC -3.4%

OKC -1.9%

OKC -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	OKC	NBA	HOU	OKC	NBA
this game	14.4	13.7	14.7	118.4	109.8	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		112.8	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.8		106.1	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	11.8	15.7	17.6	13.4	14.4
OKC	13.9	13.6	16.7	11.4	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	80	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	7	-4	14.5	13.8	0.72	13.0	16.0	-3.00
Chris Paul	69	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.00	11	-1	12	14.6	14.0	0.62	13.8	13.5	0.28
Eric Gordon	61	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	2	6	13.5	15.6	-2.08	14.1	13.0	1.08
Nene	34	34	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	-6	22	13.5	14.8	-1.33	16.4	12.3	4.10
PJ Tucker	59	58	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	8	-6	15.2	13.3	1.91	12.1	15.8	-3.71
Gerald Green	30	32	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.20	16	-6	22	12.4	15.2	-2.85	16.3	12.5	3.80
Trevor Ariza	73	70	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.41	-6	16	-22	15.2	12.4	2.85	12.5	16.3	-3.80
Luc Mbah a Moute	49	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	4	2	13.8	14.9	-1.09	15.1	12.5	2.61
Clint Capela	60	58	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.35	-6	16	-22	15.0	13.6	1.39	12.9	14.7	-1.76

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Huestis	37	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-11	12	14.7	13.2	1.52	16.5	13.1	3.39
Raymond Felton	21	22	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-3	-4	16.2	13.1	3.13	12.3	15.0	-2.69
Terrance Ferguson	14	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-3	-4	17.5	13.1	4.40	16.1	14.1	1.95
Jerami Grant	43	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	-7	4	13.9	13.6	0.27	13.9	14.7	-0.86
Carmelo Anthony	71	72	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.38	6	-16	22	12.6	16.1	-3.48	15.1	12.8	2.22
Patrick Patterson	22	23	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	1	-12	17.1	12.8	4.37	11.9	15.1	-3.24
Paul George	84	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-8	6	13.1	16.4	-3.33	14.4	14.3	0.15
Steven Adams	82	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-7	4	13.0	16.7	-3.72	14.9	12.2	2.65
Corey Brewer	51	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.18	-20	10	-30	14.0	13.4	0.67	12.6	16.2	-3.60
Russell Westbrook	85	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-6	2	13.0	17.0	-3.95	14.6	13.2	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 118, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
PHI 107, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
PHI 98, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%