NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	4.5 [894]		MVP	George Lynch (PHI): +9.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	94		Comeback	1.2 [313]		LVP	Steven Smith (POR): -15.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.01	7	93%	0.09	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	10	73%	0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	70%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	61%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Jumaine Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	7	47%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.03	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.02	21	51%	-0.07	2	-0.04	17	71%	-0.01
Todd MacCulloch	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	7	31%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	76%	0.08	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	7	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	13	54%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	45%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	11	54%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	12	54%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.02	-0.07	0.07	13	55%	-0.06	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	32.2	15.6	24.8	1.5	26.2	128.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +16.2%

PHI +9.1%

PHI +10.8%

PHI +13.8%

PHI +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	POR	NBA	PHI	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	14.4	15.5	110.3	95.9	100.9
season	15.7	15.8		101.4	103.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.3	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	13.6	15.7	17.3	15.1
POR	14.6	14.6	13.1	15.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	78	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-3	19	15.6	13.4	2.21	14.4	14.3	0.06
Allen Iverson	80	80	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	2	9	15.2	14.9	0.25	14.0	16.3	-2.30
Aaron McKie	65	65	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	4	5	15.2	15.1	0.08	14.1	15.0	-0.95
Todd MacCulloch	49	51	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.12	14	-1	15	14.5	15.8	-1.28	14.5	14.3	0.19
Toni Kukoc	51	53	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	4	5	15.1	15.2	-0.10	14.8	13.9	0.94
George Lynch	79	79	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	12	-11	15.2	14.8	0.45	14.4	14.5	-0.09
Nazr Mohammed	35	34	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	10	-7	15.9	14.7	1.16	15.2	14.0	1.19
Jumaine Jones	15	14	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	10	-7	14.0	15.4	-1.35	12.6	14.7	-2.05
Vernon Maxwell	33	36	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.06	-1	14	-15	14.5	15.5	-0.95	15.1	14.0	1.13

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	32	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-8	3	14.9	14.2	0.71	15.8	14.8	0.97
Dale Davis	34	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	-4	-5	14.8	14.2	0.56	13.8	15.8	-2.06
Stacey Augmon	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-8	3	14.4	14.4	0.03	15.9	14.7	1.14
Greg Anthony	21	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-5	-3	16.1	13.9	2.16	17.1	14.6	2.53
Shawn Kemp	34	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-6	-1	16.6	13.2	3.35	13.6	16.0	-2.38
Damon Stoudamire	68	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-9	5	13.9	15.5	-1.54	14.4	16.9	-2.55
Arvydas Sabonis	55	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-13	13	13.8	15.1	-1.28	16.2	13.8	2.47
Steven Smith	74	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-8	3	14.0	15.7	-1.79	14.6	17.0	-2.34
Scottie Pippen	69	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-5	-3	13.9	15.6	-1.74	14.7	16.1	-1.43
Rasheed Wallace	67	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.07	-14	1	-15	14.3	14.6	-0.36	16.2	12.7	3.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 113, SAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
DEN 96, GSW 81	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
TOR 108, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%