inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 113 Excitement4.4 [935] MVPShawn Marion (DAL): +18.6%
San Antonio Spurs 92 Comeback1.8 [206] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -6.0%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawn Marion0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.020.021091%0.1900.002100%0.01
Jose Calderon0.090,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.03-0.011057%0.111-0.021100%0.01
Brandan Wright0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Devin Harris0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.130.000.10990%0.062-0.032100%0.01
DeJuan Blair0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01657%0.0200.002100%0.01
Monta Ellis0.020,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.012048%0.041-0.024100%0.01
Vince Carter0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01657%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Bernard James0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shane Larkin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.021941%0.011-0.021100%-0.00
Jae Crowder-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Samuel Dalembert-0.030,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.020.01267%0.011-0.032100%0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.110.070.001287%0.336-0.15757%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.01579%0.081-0.03475%-0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01250%0.0000.00450%0.00
Austin Daye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.002100%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.03-0.00540%0.032-0.04560%-0.02
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01750%0.012-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Ayres0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Danny Green0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.010.02560%-0.022-0.0300%0.00
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.02731%-0.051-0.002100%0.01
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.00550%0.012-0.062100%0.01
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.011048%-0.013-0.05540%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.833.316.630.12.729.1141.8
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +7.5%
DAL +0.7%
DAL +5.5%
DAL +36.4%
SAS -0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALSASNBADALSASNBA
this game17.114.815.1124.2103.4105.2
season15.315.0109.0109.8
opponent15.015.0101.1107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL16.114.316.422.417.1
SAS17.414.515.611.914.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Calderon53520.400.100.300.02138516.218.4-2.2115.414.11.26
Vince Carter42420.380.120.27-0.171921716.717.5-0.7815.414.31.06
Shawn Marion66650.360.140.220.041110116.319.4-3.0715.313.61.72
Monta Ellis65630.320.180.130.05912-316.119.7-3.5315.313.71.63
Dirk Nowitzki67640.260.240.02-0.09129316.718.2-1.5215.114.30.78
DeJuan Blair28280.240.26-0.03-0.15138516.717.3-0.5513.815.3-1.49
Samuel Dalembert30280.180.32-0.140.06417-1316.617.4-0.7416.614.02.52
Devin Harris46440.170.33-0.16-0.121011-118.615.63.0314.015.6-1.58
Jae Crowder29290.120.39-0.27-0.15912-321.015.35.6312.715.9-3.19
Brandan Wright19190.080.42-0.33-0.03417-1311.918.5-6.6215.714.61.07
Bernard James330.000.50-0.50-0.03120-1934.316.517.798.715.1-6.39
Wayne Ellington450.000.50-0.500.03-122-2331.216.514.779.615.2-5.55
Shane Larkin330.000.50-0.50-0.03120-1934.316.517.798.715.1-6.39

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cory Joseph17160.20-0.700.90-0.048-293710.515.9-5.3321.016.34.69
Matt Bonner109-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-201910.115.4-5.3426.416.110.33
Austin Daye109-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-201910.115.4-5.3426.416.110.33
Jeff Ayres1111-0.11-0.390.29-0.02-3-181516.414.61.7416.317.2-0.98
Kawhi Leonard3943-0.13-0.370.240.05-6-15915.514.31.1918.016.31.73
Tiago Splitter5052-0.19-0.310.13-0.13-2-191716.013.32.7316.418.1-1.65
Patty Mills3235-0.19-0.310.120.11-10-11113.615.5-1.9015.318.3-3.05
Manu Ginobili4144-0.22-0.280.07-0.07-5-161115.614.21.3315.918.3-2.41
Danny Green4139-0.22-0.280.050.01-8-13514.814.9-0.1218.815.83.00
Tony Parker4747-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.02-10-11116.712.83.9016.717.5-0.80
Tim Duncan5961-0.33-0.17-0.160.11-15-6-915.214.20.9715.320.9-5.62
Boris Diaw3435-0.37-0.13-0.250.24-210-2114.515.1-0.6015.718.0-2.30
Marco Belinelli5454-0.630.13-0.770.28-3110-4114.615.3-0.7317.416.80.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 107, POR 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.44,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.36,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,095.3%
SAS 104, MIL 830.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.1%
NYK 99, POR 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%