NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	101		Excitement	5.9 [609]		MVP	Christian Wood (DET): +16.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	108		Comeback	1.1 [1082]		LVP	Bruce Brown (DET): -20.2%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Christian Wood	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.03	0.02	18	64%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Reggie Jackson	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13	0.17	0.01	0.05	18	70%	0.20	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Thon Maker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.03	12	66%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.04
Tony Snell	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sekou Doumbouya	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Louis King	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bone	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.04	-0.00	9	20%	-0.10	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.06	0.03	11	73%	0.19	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	13	60%	0.13	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	15	53%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	14	60%	0.15	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	10	73%	0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	27.6	15.4	25.3	2.0	42.0	140.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +34.6%

OKC +13.5%

DET -0.4%

OKC +1.5%

OKC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	OKC	NBA	DET	OKC	NBA
this game	17.4	14.7	14.2	112.2	121.3	109.6
season	15.1	14.3		108.3	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.2		107.6	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.4	20.3	19.1	13.0	17.4
OKC	13.5	15.7	14.5	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Louis King	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-6	5	22.3	16.8	5.51	16.3	14.5	1.76
Christian Wood	69	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.34	7	-14	21	16.3	21.1	-4.78	15.0	14.0	0.96
Jordan Bone	17	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-1	-5	19.5	16.9	2.58	14.1	14.9	-0.85
Reggie Jackson	63	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.26	2	-9	11	17.1	18.2	-1.13	14.7	14.7	-0.03
Tony Snell	65	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-6	5	17.0	18.6	-1.62	14.3	15.7	-1.30
Langston Galloway	57	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.27	-2	-5	3	16.0	19.8	-3.81	15.1	14.2	0.90
Sekou Doumbouya	45	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.07	-9	2	-11	19.1	15.8	3.36	15.0	14.5	0.55
Bruce Brown	62	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.20	-9	2	-11	17.4	17.6	-0.25	14.7	14.8	-0.09
Thon Maker	61	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.09	-16	9	-25	18.2	15.8	2.42	14.3	15.6	-1.29

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nerlens Noel	33	34	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.05	16	-9	25	14.4	14.9	-0.58	18.9	16.5	2.42
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	67	68	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	-3	13	14.4	15.7	-1.32	17.5	17.2	0.33
Danilo Gallinari	60	63	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	-5	17	14.2	15.8	-1.58	17.5	17.3	0.14
Luguentz Dort	45	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.09	9	-2	11	15.7	13.7	1.98	18.2	16.6	1.68
Dennis Schroder	52	50	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	3	1	15.3	14.0	1.30	16.5	18.6	-2.19
Terrance Ferguson	26	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	4	-1	13.4	15.3	-1.90	16.3	17.9	-1.68
Chris Paul	65	68	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.21	-1	8	-9	14.4	15.7	-1.34	17.4	17.5	-0.09
Darius Bazley	29	27	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	12	-17	15.8	14.2	1.58	17.3	17.5	-0.14
Steven Adams	56	56	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.24	-9	16	-25	14.9	14.4	0.58	16.5	18.9	-2.42
Abdel Nader	12	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	11	-15	15.4	14.6	0.79	21.3	16.9	4.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOK 83, PHX 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.5%
POR 89, ATL 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1	95.0%
ORL 94, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.9%