NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	112		Excitement	5.1 [761]		MVP	Cody Martin (CHA): +15.4%
Charlotte Hornets	100		Comeback	1.1 [870]		LVP	Dwayne Bacon (CHA): -14.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Bamba	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	6	100%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.00	4	89%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	-0.00	-0.02	19	55%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Aaron Gordon	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.01	12	53%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.05
Terrence Ross	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.04	8	72%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Evan Fournier	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	14	61%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
BJ Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	6	100%	0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.01	14	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	13	61%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	15	47%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	0.07	13	58%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	10	36%	0.00	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	26.0	14.8	21.2	1.8	27.2	116.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +42.4%

CHA -1.1%

CHA -5.4%

ORL +8.4%

ORL +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.5	16.0	14.2	121.7	109.9	109.6
season	14.7	15.1		107.1	105.4
opponent	14.7	14.2		112.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.4	17.7	14.1	17.1	15.5
CHA	15.4	13.7	16.6	18.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Fournier	59	57	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.04	23	-11	34	15.6	15.2	0.38	16.9	14.6	2.24
Aaron Gordon	73	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-1	14	15.3	16.1	-0.75	15.7	17.2	-1.44
Nikola Vucevic	71	69	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	1	10	15.1	16.7	-1.63	16.1	15.9	0.21
Terrence Ross	58	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	0	12	15.5	15.4	0.07	15.8	16.4	-0.59
Markelle Fultz	65	64	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	3	6	15.4	15.5	-0.09	16.4	15.1	1.24
Wes Iwundu	43	41	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.17	2	10	-8	14.9	16.0	-1.08	16.4	15.7	0.63
Mo Bamba	21	22	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	11	-10	16.7	15.1	1.63	15.9	16.1	-0.21
Michael Carter-Williams	41	42	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	15	-18	16.5	14.6	1.86	15.3	16.6	-1.28
Gary Clark	19	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	13	-14	16.1	15.3	0.75	17.2	15.7	1.44
BJ Johnson	10	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	19	-26	12.9	15.8	-2.87	11.6	16.6	-4.97

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willy Hernangomez	40	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-13	14	15.5	16.4	-0.84	15.2	15.7	-0.45
Marvin Williams	35	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-9	6	15.4	16.4	-1.06	14.9	15.8	-0.82
Cody Martin	53	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-13	14	15.9	16.2	-0.28	15.4	15.5	-0.03
Malik Monk	46	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	-5	-2	14.9	17.2	-2.29	14.2	16.7	-2.50
Devonte' Graham	68	68	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-9	6	16.3	15.2	1.13	15.9	14.2	1.75
Dwayne Bacon	34	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	2	-16	16.0	16.0	0.01	15.8	15.2	0.61
Cody Zeller	51	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	1	-14	16.4	15.5	0.84	15.7	15.2	0.45
Miles Bridges	63	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-1	-10	16.6	14.7	1.89	16.0	14.1	1.96
Terry Rozier	65	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-1	-10	16.4	15.1	1.32	15.4	15.7	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, HOU 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0	95.1%
ATL 105, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0	94.8%
MIN 105, VAN 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.17,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%