NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	105		Excitement	5.6 [694]		MVP	Dale Davis (IND): +10.4%
Indiana Pacers	99		Comeback	1.1 [282]		LVP	Rik Smits (IND): -19.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bimbo Coles	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	0.01	11	67%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Roshown McLeod	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	10	60%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.03	-0.06	22	34%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	15	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Jason Terry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	16	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	11	57%	0.02	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.00	5	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	10	55%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	8	37%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	-0.02	14	55%	0.02	1	-0.03	10	90%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	12	57%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.11	0.02	20	49%	-0.03	4	-0.17	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.7	26.4	15.6	24.2	2.4	29.6	121.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +14.8%

IND -4.2%

ATL +29.0%

ATL +8.6%

ATL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	17.4	14.4	15.2	115.4	110.0	101.7
season	15.4	15.4		99.3	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.2		101.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	17.3	19.2	18.2	17.4
IND	14.2	15.5	16.0	12.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	78	77	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-4	14	17.0	19.3	-2.27	14.5	14.3	0.16
Bimbo Coles	57	55	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-4	14	17.1	17.8	-0.64	14.7	14.1	0.54
Dikembe Mutombo	78	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.28	6	0	6	18.0	13.7	4.28	14.8	12.2	2.53
Jim Jackson	75	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	0	6	16.8	20.2	-3.43	14.2	15.3	-1.04
Roshown McLeod	49	50	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	1	4	18.9	15.6	3.28	14.7	14.1	0.67
Isaiah Rider	58	58	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.18	1	5	-4	16.9	18.2	-1.38	14.4	14.4	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	26	25	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	10	-14	16.5	17.7	-1.21	13.3	14.9	-1.56
Jason Terry	34	35	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	10	-14	17.8	17.1	0.64	14.1	14.7	-0.54

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	63	64	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.35	10	-16	26	13.8	15.9	-2.12	18.0	16.0	1.99
Austin Croshere	36	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-5	4	14.0	14.8	-0.79	17.5	17.2	0.30
Travis Best	26	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	15.7	13.9	1.81	19.0	16.8	2.20
Sam Perkins	28	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-2	-2	15.7	13.9	1.84	18.4	16.9	1.54
Rik Smits	62	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-4	2	13.9	15.7	-1.84	16.9	18.4	-1.54
Mark Jackson	50	52	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	14.6	14.2	0.44	17.5	17.2	0.37
Dale Davis	54	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-1	-4	14.8	14.0	0.79	17.2	17.5	-0.30
Reggie Miller	72	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	14.2	15.4	-1.25	17.2	18.0	-0.78
Jalen Rose	59	58	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	10	-26	14.7	14.0	0.73	16.1	19.6	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 118, PHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
IND 104, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.13,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.7%
DEN 108, PHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.35,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0	94.7%