NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Excitement	8.6 [209]		MVP	Robert Covington (MIN): +30.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	119		Comeback	7.5 [229]		LVP	Shabazz Napier (MIN): -12.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.31,0.31	0.09	0.21	-0.01	10	81%	0.41	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.02
Jarrett Culver	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.2	0.19	0.04	0.03	11	83%	0.25	1	-0.05	7	71%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.05	14	60%	0.18	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Naz Reid	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	58%	0.13	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	48%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.03
Kelan Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shabazz Napier	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	10	29%	-0.07	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.19	0.02	15	62%	0.29	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.14	-0.01	20	64%	0.33	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Ja Morant	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.13	0.01	18	66%	0.34	5	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.02	0.04	6	82%	0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	0.00	7	43%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.8	27.0	14.6	27.2	2.0	29.2	127.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +37.8%

MIN -12.5%

MEM +3.3%

MEM +15.1%

MEM +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	14.0	13.3	14.2	105.7	113.3	109.6
season	13.8	13.8		107.1	108.2
opponent	13.9	13.8		109.2	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.3	13.5	14.6	13.3	14.0
MEM	12.3	14.2	12.0	14.9	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Culver	64	64	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.02	8	-15	23	13.5	14.6	-1.02	13.0	14.0	-1.00
Naz Reid	22	23	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.06	7	-14	21	13.9	14.0	-0.11	15.1	12.9	2.23
Keita Bates-Diop	36	36	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.01	3	-10	13	14.1	13.9	0.28	14.9	12.5	2.44
Kelan Martin	29	30	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.12	-2	-5	3	14.4	13.8	0.63	13.3	13.3	-0.01
Noah Vonleh	30	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-4	1	14.4	13.8	0.58	14.2	13.0	1.15
Josh Okogie	31	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.02	-8	1	-9	14.5	13.7	0.70	13.8	13.1	0.69
Jeff Teague	61	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-5	3	13.3	14.8	-1.47	14.1	12.2	1.96
Shabazz Napier	56	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.22	-9	2	-11	14.6	13.3	1.27	12.7	14.0	-1.34
Gorgui Dieng	54	52	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	4	-15	13.8	14.2	-0.39	12.1	14.6	-2.47
Andrew Wiggins	75	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.46	-5	-2	-3	13.9	14.2	-0.29	13.2	13.8	-0.61
Robert Covington	72	71	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.38	-13	6	-19	14.0	13.9	0.06	12.7	14.8	-2.10

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Anthony Melton	45	44	1.04	-0.54	1.57	0.33	24	-17	41	13.7	13.0	0.68	13.7	14.1	-0.46
Jaren Jackson Jr.	68	70	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.35	15	-8	23	13.1	13.8	-0.68	14.0	13.9	0.14
Ja Morant	70	73	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-9	25	12.6	14.8	-2.23	13.8	14.4	-0.64
Dillon Brooks	69	73	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	-4	15	12.7	14.7	-2.01	14.1	13.6	0.46
Jae Crowder	68	68	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.36	-5	12	-17	13.3	13.4	-0.14	13.7	14.4	-0.73
Brandon Clarke	37	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.07	9	-2	11	13.6	13.2	0.39	14.8	13.5	1.25
Solomon Hill	41	40	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	7	-7	13.5	13.2	0.24	14.1	13.9	0.24
Kyle Anderson	29	28	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.10	4	3	1	13.6	13.3	0.29	14.8	13.7	1.13
Grayson Allen	13	13	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.07	-11	18	-29	17.2	12.8	4.44	13.2	14.1	-0.82
Tyus Jones	34	31	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.01	-11	18	-29	15.1	12.5	2.58	14.0	13.9	0.11
Jonas Valanciunas	51	54	-0.58	1.08	-1.66	-0.08	-17	24	-41	12.8	13.9	-1.12	13.6	14.4	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.37,0.16,0.36,0.47,0.66,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 108, NOH 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.3,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.2,0.28,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.54,0.66,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.92,1	91.9%
HOU 98, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.29,0.28,0.47,0.54,0.73,0.86,0.96,0.99,1,1	91.7%
SAS 87, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.28,0.37,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.43,0.44,0.64,0.47,0.61,0.81,0.79,0.95,0.98,1	91.5%