NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	109		Excitement	5.7 [647]		MVP	Georges Niang (UTA): +30.8%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	1.2 [792]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): -9.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Georges Niang	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.15	0.15	-0.00	8	94%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0.28	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.21	0.12	0.05	21	74%	0.33	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Tony Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Gobert	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.04	8	40%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Morgan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rayjon Tucker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	45%	-0.01	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	8	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	6	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.17	0.10	0.02	16	67%	0.25	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	69%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	19	54%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Frazier Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amile Jefferson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Magette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	15	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	46%	-0.00	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	25.4	15.4	24.6	2.4	24.4	118.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.0%

ORL -4.5%

UTA +16.1%

UTA +1.8%

UTA +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ORL	NBA	UTA	ORL	NBA
this game	17.2	14.2	14.2	119.8	104.3	109.6
season	14.9	14.7		112.1	107.1
opponent	14.2	14.2		108.9	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.6	18.5	17.9	18.4	17.2
ORL	14.2	13.6	14.2	15.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	63	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-5	23	17.7	16.3	1.38	14.5	13.6	0.92
Donovan Mitchell	67	70	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-2	17	17.8	15.7	2.03	13.8	15.6	-1.82
Georges Niang	33	33	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	0	13	14.0	19.1	-5.13	15.2	13.7	1.50
Jordan Clarkson	49	51	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	8	-3	16.3	18.4	-2.07	14.9	13.5	1.42
Tony Bradley	29	29	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	10	-7	15.8	17.9	-2.13	15.1	13.9	1.20
Rudy Gobert	62	63	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.06	10	3	7	17.9	15.8	2.13	13.9	15.1	-1.20
Bojan Bogdanovic	56	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	7	-1	18.6	15.1	3.46	13.7	15.2	-1.51
Royce O'Neale	51	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	6	1	19.2	14.8	4.40	13.9	14.7	-0.87
Juwan Morgan	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	6.0	17.4	-11.37	14.0	14.3	-0.25
Emmanuel Mudiay	34	34	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	16	-19	15.4	18.3	-2.87	14.6	14.0	0.63
Rayjon Tucker	10	9	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	21	-29	16.4	17.3	-0.95	12.9	14.4	-1.51

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Frazier Jr.	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	14.0	14.3	-0.25	10.0	17.4	-7.40
Amile Jefferson	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	14.0	14.3	-0.25	10.0	17.4	-7.40
Josh Magette	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	14.0	14.3	-0.25	10.0	17.4	-7.40
Aaron Gordon	63	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	-8	3	14.4	14.0	0.37	18.2	15.1	3.14
Markelle Fultz	53	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-4	-5	13.6	15.1	-1.52	19.1	14.9	4.13
Mo Bamba	31	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-11	9	14.9	13.9	1.03	14.8	18.4	-3.59
Nikola Vucevic	60	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-1	-11	13.9	14.9	-1.01	18.7	14.5	4.18
Evan Fournier	60	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-1	-11	13.7	15.3	-1.68	18.1	15.6	2.52
D.J. Augustin	47	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	15.0	13.4	1.58	15.7	18.7	-3.03
Wes Iwundu	60	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-9	5	14.6	13.6	1.05	17.1	17.6	-0.48
Khem Birch	24	23	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-2	-9	14.2	14.2	-0.00	13.4	18.5	-5.15
Terrence Ross	59	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-7	1	14.3	14.1	0.20	17.1	17.5	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.22,0.25,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 112, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.34,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
DAL 112, BOS 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.19,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
UTA 92, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0	93.8%