NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	92		Excitement	6.0 [655]		MVP	Andrew Harrison (MEM): +14.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	88		Comeback	1.1 [1039]		LVP	Mario Chalmers (MEM): -15.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Hood	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	12	56%	0.13	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.05
Joe Johnson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.00	0.04	-0.04	8	44%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0.07	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	16	63%	0.16	4	-0.09	14	79%	0.01
Raul Neto	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	3	114%	0.16	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	12	37%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	44%	0.02	4	-0.12	8	75%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	15	70%	0.22	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	7	69%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	13	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	20	43%	-0.10	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.04
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.02	0.04	8	44%	-0.04	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	26.7	15.5	25.2	2.5	33.7	130.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +26.7%

UTA +16.2%

UTA +8.5%

MEM -5.8%

UTA +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	16.2	14.9	14.7	98.9	95.7	107.5
season	15.1	15.4		106.6	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.6		109.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	12.9	15.0	18.0	20.0	16.2
MEM	15.9	13.2	15.5	15.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	59	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.15	10	-6	16	17.3	14.4	2.88	15.2	14.2	1.00
Royce O'Neale	27	28	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	-5	14	16.4	16.2	0.19	16.8	14.1	2.72
Rudy Gobert	77	74	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.35	-1	5	-6	15.6	19.2	-3.56	14.2	17.7	-3.45
Raul Neto	31	32	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	-3	10	17.0	15.9	1.10	16.9	13.8	3.04
Rodney Hood	44	44	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	0	4	16.2	16.3	-0.15	15.6	14.3	1.30
Joe Johnson	44	44	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	5	-6	16.5	16.0	0.50	15.3	14.5	0.86
Joe Ingles	57	55	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.20	-1	5	-6	16.2	16.2	-0.02	14.1	16.1	-1.99
Ricky Rubio	57	56	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	7	-10	16.1	16.5	-0.48	13.9	16.4	-2.55
Donovan Mitchell	63	61	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.21	-4	8	-12	16.0	16.6	-0.59	14.1	16.4	-2.26
Jonas Jerebko	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	4	-4	11.8	16.5	-4.71	16.8	14.8	2.02

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Brooks	61	61	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.23	6	-10	16	14.1	16.4	-2.26	17.0	14.7	2.27
Ivan Rabb	21	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-4	4	15.0	14.9	0.08	18.2	15.7	2.59
JaMychal Green	58	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.31	6	-10	16	13.8	16.8	-3.06	16.6	15.6	1.03
Wayne Selden	35	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.13	-2	-2	0	14.3	15.3	-1.02	13.5	17.9	-4.42
Andrew Harrison	67	67	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.00	-10	6	-16	15.3	13.8	1.50	16.3	16.1	0.17
James Ennis III	47	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-5	6	16.0	13.7	2.31	16.1	16.4	-0.25
Marc Gasol	71	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	0	-4	14.9	15.0	-0.08	15.7	18.2	-2.59
Jarell Martin	58	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.06	-13	9	-22	15.3	14.1	1.23	16.8	15.4	1.34
Mario Chalmers	42	44	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.47	-4	0	-4	15.5	14.3	1.21	16.3	16.2	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 104, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.4%
IND 114, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
ORL 98, DEN 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.4,0.52,0.47,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.0%