NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	122		Excitement	5.6 [675]		MVP	Garrison Mathews (WAS): +21.5%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	1.6 [829]		LVP	Troy Brown Jr. (WAS): -10.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.04	0.04	20	65%	0.18	1	-0.02	14	93%	0.04
CJ McCollum	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	18	63%	0.13	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.01	0.04	14	64%	0.12	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Mario Hezonja	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	7	59%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.02	0.05	9	80%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Hoard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Anfernee Simons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.19	0.02	-0.00	9	95%	0.21	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jordan McRae	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.03	26	57%	0.14	2	-0.06	9	78%	0.00
Johnathan Williams	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	7	29%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Admiral Schofield	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.04	14	53%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	5	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00
Anzejs Pasecniks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	10	40%	-0.05	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	32.2	14.8	29.6	2.4	31.2	138.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +24.2%

POR +8.7%

WAS -1.8%

POR +17.7%

POR +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	WAS	NBA	POR	WAS	NBA
this game	15.4	14.8	14.2	128.4	107.3	109.6
season	14.4	13.7		111.9	109.8
opponent	14.0	13.9		114.2	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.6	14.6	13.4	18.3	15.4
WAS	13.8	16.7	14.3	14.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damian Lillard	66	68	0.66	-0.16	0.81	-0.19	29	-10	39	15.6	14.9	0.76	14.8	14.7	0.13
Kent Bazemore	68	67	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.16	27	-8	35	15.8	14.3	1.58	15.3	13.4	1.90
Hassan Whiteside	65	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.22	28	-9	37	15.4	15.5	-0.11	14.9	14.4	0.49
Carmelo Anthony	59	62	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.11	21	-2	23	15.4	15.4	-0.04	15.0	14.3	0.78
CJ McCollum	71	71	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.15	18	1	17	15.0	16.5	-1.54	15.3	13.2	2.07
Gary Trent Jr.	41	41	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.22	-7	26	-33	15.3	15.4	-0.08	14.2	15.2	-0.92
Nassir Little	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	15.0	15.4	-0.40	11.0	14.9	-3.85
Jaylen Hoard	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	16	-13	16.3	15.4	0.97	11.7	14.9	-3.20
Mario Hezonja	36	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.13	-6	25	-31	15.2	15.5	-0.27	14.7	14.8	-0.04
Anthony Tolliver	30	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.17	-9	28	-37	15.5	15.4	0.11	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Anfernee Simons	34	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.13	-9	28	-37	15.1	15.6	-0.51	13.1	15.7	-2.56

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Bonga	19	21	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.01	4	-23	27	13.2	15.2	-1.95	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Isaiah Thomas	25	24	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.02	4	-23	27	13.8	15.1	-1.31	15.6	15.3	0.32
Admiral Schofield	24	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-19	19	14.7	14.8	-0.03	16.8	14.9	1.90
Anzejs Pasecniks	35	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-21	23	14.8	14.8	0.00	16.0	15.0	1.01
Garrison Mathews	50	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-20	21	14.4	15.2	-0.77	15.6	15.2	0.38
Jordan McRae	66	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-15	11	14.5	15.4	-0.96	15.5	15.1	0.42
Johnathan Williams	34	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-8	-3	14.8	14.8	-0.01	14.6	15.8	-1.25
Ian Mahinmi	51	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.16	-18	-1	-17	15.4	14.0	1.37	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Ish Smith	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-3	-13	14.3	15.9	-1.58	14.9	16.7	-1.74
Gary Payton II	69	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.11	-21	2	-23	15.1	14.0	1.07	15.9	14.1	1.73
Troy Brown Jr.	61	60	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	0.22	-31	12	-43	15.3	13.8	1.57	15.3	15.6	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0	94.2%
DAL 92, MIN 77	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
MIA 115, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%