NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	115		Excitement	4.1 [978]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +17.8%
Golden State Warriors	102		Comeback	1.5 [524]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -11.3%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.03	-0.01	15	78%	0.30	7	-0.12	15	100%	0.07
Quentin Richardson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.00	7	79%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.04	15	75%	0.12	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	13	63%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.04	7	73%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	4	10%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.19	0.01	0.06	14	75%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	0.01	0.05	11	76%	0.14	3	-0.07	11	100%	0.04
Andris Biedrins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Chris Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	78%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	15	45%	0.01	3	-0.03	8	50%	-0.04
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cartier Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	10	46%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	10	45%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.5	34.5	15.4	27.4	2.5	31.7	143.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +37.3%

MIA +9.6%

MIA +7.0%

GSW -4.2%

MIA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	GSW	NBA	MIA	GSW	NBA
this game	17.2	14.4	15.3	125.0	113.3	106.0
season	16.2	13.4		104.4	106.5
opponent	14.8	15.4		110.0	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.9	15.3	16.3	19.7	17.2
GSW	14.8	15.3	13.0	14.6	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	61	59	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.10	26	-13	39	16.2	19.1	-2.82	14.8	13.6	1.19
Dwyane Wade	69	69	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.00	21	-8	29	16.5	19.2	-2.64	13.9	16.1	-2.24
Mario Chalmers	41	39	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	6	1	17.0	17.3	-0.31	14.6	14.3	0.25
Michael Beasley	59	58	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	7	-1	17.5	16.6	0.92	15.5	12.5	3.03
Quentin Richardson	38	38	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	6	1	17.8	16.8	1.06	14.6	14.3	0.23
Dorell Wright	55	52	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	10	-7	16.8	17.8	-1.03	14.3	14.6	-0.23
Rafer Alston	51	51	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	7	-1	17.3	17.0	0.31	14.3	14.6	-0.25
Udonis Haslem	55	53	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	11	-9	17.7	16.5	1.14	13.9	15.1	-1.21
Joel Anthony	31	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.22	-13	26	-39	19.1	16.2	2.82	13.6	14.8	-1.19

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	24	24	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-15	17	15.3	14.1	1.24	17.1	17.2	-0.15
Chris Hunter	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.19	6	-19	25	14.0	14.5	-0.49	17.8	17.1	0.67
Devean George	14	15	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.16	3	-16	19	13.0	14.7	-1.68	19.6	16.7	2.87
CJ Watson	8	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	-6	-1	18.4	14.0	4.34	15.9	17.3	-1.45
Corey Maggette	62	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-7	1	15.1	12.9	2.27	17.6	16.3	1.31
Cartier Martin	65	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-11	9	14.4	14.6	-0.19	16.3	19.5	-3.21
Stephen Curry	63	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-1	-11	13.9	15.6	-1.67	17.5	16.4	1.09
Anthony Morrow	56	57	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	-2	-9	14.2	14.7	-0.46	17.7	16.4	1.33
Monta Ellis	85	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	-2	-9	14.2	18.4	-4.21	16.7	28.5	-11.82
Andris Biedrins	60	62	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	0.13	-27	14	-41	14.3	14.7	-0.37	17.2	17.2	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 103, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.8%
SAS 109, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
ORL 105, BKN 82	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%