inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 115 Excitement6.3 [568] MVPNemanja Bjelica (SAC): +23.8%
Denver Nuggets 120 Comeback1.9 [834] LVPJuancho Hernangomez (DEN): -9.9%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nemanja Bjelica0.240,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.240.250.050.061393%0.271-0.03367%-0.01
Richaun Holmes0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.09-0.010.021369%0.101-0.0400%0.00
Harry Giles III0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02761%0.0500.00475%-0.02
Trevor Ariza0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.01-0.01650%0.0300.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.00-0.04550%0.031-0.00250%-0.02
Cory Joseph-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
De'Aaron Fox-0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.080.01-0.070.021264%0.054-0.124100%0.02
Buddy Hield-0.090,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09-0.00-0.050.031853%-0.013-0.08250%-0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1-0.06-0.05-0.01839%-0.032-0.07250%-0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.170.030.011086%0.1800.002100%0.01
Jerami Grant0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.160.160.090.070.01975%0.212-0.056100%0.04
Mason Plumlee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.080.100.03483%0.192-0.041090%0.04
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.060.060.060.010.01885%0.184-0.12475%0.01
Will Barton0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.040.040.08-0.020.031463%0.071-0.032100%0.01
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.021246%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.021054%0.053-0.044100%0.02
Monte Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.00-0.00-0.01638%0.0000.001100%0.00
Torrey Craig0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Juancho Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.0058%-0.1000.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.12.025.415.627.32.546.2143.2
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +1.2%
DEN +31.6%
DEN +5.0%
DEN +10.2%
DEN +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACDENNBASACDENNBA
this game14.415.714.2118.6126.3109.6
season14.315.0109.0112.0
opponent14.514.5110.7110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC15.614.015.412.314.4
DEN15.714.214.618.215.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Harry Giles III34320.11-0.610.73-0.1810-152513.015.1-2.0317.914.53.38
Bogdan Bogdanovic5453-0.10-0.400.31-0.338-132113.016.1-3.0916.714.42.34
Harrison Barnes6159-0.24-0.260.03-0.03-72-914.713.71.0414.717.2-2.51
Cory Joseph3432-0.32-0.18-0.130.01-116-1716.613.13.5416.615.21.36
Trevor Ariza3534-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.03-105-1514.214.4-0.2416.415.31.07
Buddy Hield7271-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.340-5514.314.6-0.3415.416.5-1.18
De'Aaron Fox6868-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.350-5513.416.5-3.0415.316.5-1.19
Nemanja Bjelica6564-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.30-2-3114.913.21.7415.316.3-0.98
Richaun Holmes6262-0.580.09-0.67-0.20-138-2115.212.82.3814.717.4-2.70

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamal Murray64670.450.050.410.257-2915.316.4-1.1214.613.90.65
Nikola Jokic51540.440.060.390.218-31115.116.3-1.2615.313.12.22
Jerami Grant66680.410.090.330.3041314.817.5-2.6714.513.90.65
Will Barton61620.390.110.290.2841314.917.1-2.1714.613.90.73
Michael Porter Jr.54560.280.220.060.1350514.916.7-1.7914.813.71.16
Malik Beasley47470.270.230.040.2123-116.714.62.0613.015.6-2.58
Juancho Hernangomez37370.240.26-0.030.1241317.414.52.9015.113.91.18
Mason Plumlee44430.060.44-0.390.14-38-1116.315.11.2613.115.3-2.22
Monte Morris33330.020.48-0.450.05-16-717.414.82.6114.214.4-0.21
Torrey Craig1818-0.070.57-0.640.08-510-1515.415.7-0.2712.714.7-2.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.55,0.64,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.96,0.9,0.81,0.94,0.93,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 97, DET 1140.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.75,0.88,0.88,0.79,0.78,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.99,1,1,193.6%
TOR 108, LAL 1170.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,193.5%
PHX 88, MIN 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.86,0.85,0.98,0.99,193.4%