NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	124		Excitement	7.7 [329]		MVP	JJ Redick (NOP): +23.2%
Phoenix Suns	121		Comeback	2.4 [303]		LVP	Frank Jackson (NOP): -11.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.22	0.04	0.02	14	87%	0.27	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Ingram	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.13	-0.01	19	60%	0.32	4	-0.12	9	78%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.08	-0.00	12	76%	0.26	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Nicolo Melli	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.00	4	90%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jaxson Hayes	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	19	55%	0.14	5	-0.12	4	50%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Frank Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	7	60%	0.11	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.02	0.01	17	58%	0.11	1	-0.04	9	100%	0.05
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.15	-0.04	0.08	6	93%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	58%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.06	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	14	61%	0.10	6	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	2.6	32.0	15.7	29.3	3.7	34.4	145.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +65.6%

PHX -14.5%

NOP +10.7%

PHX -15.7%

NOP +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHX	NBA	NOP	PHX	NBA
this game	13.1	14.5	14.2	118.1	116.3	109.6
season	13.4	14.1		109.9	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.2		110.2	111.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.4	13.3	13.8	13.0	13.1
PHX	13.9	13.4	16.2	14.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Ingram	71	72	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.35	18	-15	33	12.5	14.2	-1.69	14.9	13.4	1.54
Kenrich Williams	67	65	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.34	16	-13	29	12.2	14.6	-2.37	15.3	13.1	2.15
Jrue Holiday	82	82	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	-3	9	13.1	13.1	-0.05	14.2	15.4	-1.19
Jaxson Hayes	45	46	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.06	21	-18	39	13.4	12.9	0.46	15.3	13.8	1.46
JJ Redick	80	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	-5	13	13.0	13.4	-0.35	14.4	14.7	-0.25
E'Twaun Moore	55	54	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.47	-16	19	-35	13.9	12.2	1.79	14.1	14.8	-0.67
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	3	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	5	-7	17.7	13.0	4.71	16.5	14.4	2.07
Lonzo Ball	40	41	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.22	-11	14	-25	13.8	12.6	1.18	13.9	14.8	-0.94
Nicolo Melli	50	48	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.05	-10	13	-23	12.6	13.6	-0.98	13.5	15.3	-1.76
Frank Jackson	32	30	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	0.05	-15	18	-33	14.0	12.7	1.26	13.9	14.7	-0.76

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elie Okobo	43	44	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.19	16	-19	35	13.7	15.0	-1.32	14.1	12.3	1.79
Cheick Diallo	30	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-5	7	14.1	14.6	-0.47	13.8	12.8	1.01
Dario Saric	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	6	-15	15.0	14.2	0.81	11.3	14.1	-2.78
Jevon Carter	18	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	0	-3	15.1	14.3	0.71	14.5	12.8	1.68
Cameron Johnson	42	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.38	6	-9	15	12.9	15.5	-2.63	14.6	12.1	2.48
Mikal Bridges	76	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.53	10	-13	23	13.8	16.2	-2.34	13.8	11.2	2.56
Kelly Oubre Jr.	76	76	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.27	-4	1	-5	15.0	13.1	1.82	12.6	14.3	-1.73
Devin Booker	83	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.30	-5	2	-7	14.2	15.4	-1.14	12.7	14.5	-1.78
Frank Kaminsky	51	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.04	-14	11	-25	16.0	13.0	2.96	12.7	13.5	-0.72
Tyler Johnson	65	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.23	-14	11	-25	15.0	13.6	1.33	12.2	14.5	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.6,0.63,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.12,0.18,0.25,0.21,0.15,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, OKC 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.41,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.15,0.28,0.39,0.22,0.09,0.08,0	91.7%
DET 95, CHI 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	91.3%
LAC 101, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.02,0,0	91.3%