NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	95		Excitement	5.8 [667]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +10.7%
Chicago Bulls	85		Comeback	1.7 [496]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -12.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	15	55%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Chauncey Billups	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.03	0.05	12	55%	0.06	0	0.00	14	100%	0.06
Richard Hamilton	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.01	0.06	18	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Carlos Delfino	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Webber	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	14	55%	0.10	5	-0.15	1	0%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.00	15	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03	7	53%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.07
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	25%	-0.10
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	18	51%	-0.00	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.06	0.04	14	53%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	13	33%	-0.06	2	-0.07	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.8	36.1	18.4	32.4	2.8	41.3	158.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +33.7%

DET +5.8%

DET +4.8%

DET +0.5%

DET +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	18.4	14.5	15.4	108.0	97.7	104.5
season	16.8	14.5		106.1	103.1
opponent	15.9	15.7		98.1	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.2	19.9	17.4	18.2	18.4
CHI	13.1	16.1	16.9	12.3	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	84	82	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.14	16	-6	22	18.4	18.7	-0.38	14.3	18.2	-3.92
Rasheed Wallace	72	71	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-2	14	18.3	18.9	-0.60	14.7	13.8	0.85
Chauncey Billups	77	78	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	0	10	18.4	18.5	-0.18	14.3	16.3	-2.04
Richard Hamilton	78	78	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.16	8	2	6	18.1	20.4	-2.27	14.7	12.6	2.18
Antonio McDyess	45	44	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	10	-10	20.2	16.4	3.80	13.1	16.0	-2.91
Chris Webber	40	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	2	6	18.6	18.2	0.48	16.0	13.3	2.72
Lindsey Hunter	27	25	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.09	3	7	-4	16.2	19.3	-3.12	13.2	15.0	-1.83
Jason Maxiell	14	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.04	-3	13	-16	18.0	18.5	-0.46	15.9	14.2	1.61
Carlos Delfino	3	3	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	14	-18	18.7	18.4	0.29	22.7	14.2	8.45

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	10	9	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-11	12	14.8	14.5	0.33	11.6	19.2	-7.61
Andres Nocioni	36	39	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.20	7	-17	24	13.6	15.1	-1.53	18.2	18.6	-0.37
Adrian Griffin	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-10	10	20.0	14.4	5.56	9.0	18.5	-9.49
Chris Duhon	17	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-6	2	14.5	14.5	-0.04	19.2	18.2	0.98
Tyrus Thomas	26	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-8	6	14.2	14.7	-0.50	18.5	18.3	0.22
P.J. Brown	56	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-4	-2	15.2	13.2	1.99	19.1	17.2	1.83
Kirk Hinrich	78	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	-1	-8	14.4	15.0	-0.55	18.1	21.2	-3.16
Ben Gordon	80	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.22	-8	-2	-6	14.6	13.9	0.71	18.6	15.2	3.46
Ben Wallace	51	50	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.02	-17	7	-24	15.0	13.9	1.10	18.9	17.8	1.10
Luol Deng	80	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	2	-14	14.1	18.7	-4.58	18.5	17.2	1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 111, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.2%
NOH 92, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0	94.1%
UTA 102, LAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%