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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 92 Excitement5.7 [648] MVPChris Paul (NOH): +12.5%
Atlanta Hawks 86 Comeback1.5 [641] LVPJoe Johnson (ATL): -18.8%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.100.00-0.021371%0.162-0.032100%0.01
Jannero Pargo0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.070.060.020.01965%0.081-0.012100%0.01
David West0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.050.000.02-0.041750%0.122-0.061080%0.05
Morris Peterson0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.010.021155%0.0400.0000%0.00
Melvin Ely0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.01-0.00267%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Julian Wright-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Hilton Armstrong-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.06-0.00-0.05367%0.044-0.0500%0.00
Tyson Chandler-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.00635%-0.0300.00540%-0.03
Bobby Jackson-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.00425%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.030.000.04829%-0.0700.001100%0.00
Peja Stojakovic-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.03-0.041217%-0.101-0.0400%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Josh Childress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.060.03-0.00573%0.1000.0010%-0.01
Al Horford0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.01-0.00464%0.051-0.04650%-0.04
Shelden Williams00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario West00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.05-0.010.041356%0.021-0.036100%0.04
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.02-0.00757%0.062-0.0800%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01650%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Anthony Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00350%0.002-0.07250%-0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15-0.15-0.01-0.060.081064%0.005-0.15560%-0.03
Joe Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19-0.19-0.16-0.06-0.032038%-0.056-0.145100%0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.81.826.115.726.81.836.0132.9
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL -1.4%
NOH +1.4%
NOH +11.6%
NOH +34.2%
NOH +4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHATLNBANOHATLNBA
this game16.415.115.4100.094.5105.7
season15.915.4109.6104.2
opponent15.715.7107.2104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH17.118.614.615.516.4
ATL15.016.415.413.915.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David West85840.59-0.090.680.329-31216.021.3-5.3314.819.0-4.21
Peja Stojakovic64610.430.070.370.2660616.216.6-0.3614.516.4-1.92
Chris Paul70680.380.120.260.177-1816.316.5-0.1914.417.3-2.94
Melvin Ely26260.360.140.220.0112-61815.316.8-1.4717.314.23.13
Morris Peterson46480.290.210.090.068-21016.116.7-0.5914.715.6-0.94
Hilton Armstrong35340.230.27-0.040.2015-416.516.30.2113.716.0-2.29
Jannero Pargo35330.210.29-0.070.30-39-1216.516.30.1615.215.10.07
Bobby Jackson33330.110.39-0.270.1106-616.816.10.6217.213.93.35
Rasual Butler31320.070.43-0.360.10-17-815.416.8-1.4215.914.71.23
Julian Wright45-0.060.56-0.62-0.00-28-1023.516.07.4718.214.93.27
Tyson Chandler3131-0.120.62-0.740.08-713-2018.515.33.1615.614.80.76

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mario West760.00-0.500.51-0.031-7816.115.01.1218.816.22.65
Shelden Williams78-0.02-0.480.45-0.020-6616.415.01.4316.116.4-0.26
Zaza Pachulia3734-0.12-0.380.26-0.120-6617.413.63.7817.115.91.20
Tyronn Lue3838-0.17-0.330.16-0.170-6616.414.22.3015.616.9-1.37
Anthony Johnson4952-0.20-0.300.10-0.231-7813.716.8-3.0717.015.51.56
Josh Childress4240-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.08-82-1016.813.63.2015.517.0-1.43
Joe Johnson7880-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.22-5-1-414.618.2-3.6416.118.3-2.27
Marvin Williams6768-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.29-3-3014.915.6-0.6416.615.61.05
Josh Smith6669-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.22-82-1014.117.7-3.6016.316.6-0.28
Al Horford6465-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.25-82-1014.516.4-1.9016.316.4-0.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.12,0.11,0.02,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 88, PHI 790.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0,0,094.9%
CHH 108, TOR 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.31,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0,094.4%
UTA 99, PHX 860.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.07,0,0,094.3%