inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 132 Excitement7.4 [375] MVPIsh Smith (WAS): +25.6%
Washington Wizards 138 Comeback3.5 [265] LVPLaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): -9.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0.190,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.190.180.030.031372%0.201-0.011776%0.01
Jakob Poeltl0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.050.070.00765%0.141-0.02333%-0.04
Dejounte Murray0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.030.07-0.011168%0.233-0.1200%0.00
Rudy Gay0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.050.080.010.031169%0.132-0.074100%0.00
Patty Mills0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.07-0.05-0.001080%0.143-0.1100%0.00
Marco Belinelli0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.02-0.01956%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Trey Lyles-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Bryn Forbes-0.050,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.10-0.050.111458%-0.0500.00580%0.00
DeMarre Carroll-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.090,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09-0.04-0.030.011540%-0.051-0.0400%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.170.07-0.021284%0.261-0.0010%-0.01
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.250.250.120.12-0.012466%0.374-0.132100%0.03
Davis Bertans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.240.240.140.160.061184%0.323-0.083100%0.02
Thomas Bryant0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.00-0.00779%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Jordan McRae0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.020.03473%0.061-0.02367%-0.01
Troy Brown Jr.0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01383%0.0300.0000%0.00
Moritz Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.010.02881%0.093-0.0700%0.00
Rui Hachimura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.010.010.04-0.000.021058%0.031-0.01683%-0.01
Isaiah Thomas0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.020.031055%0.012-0.0500%0.00
CJ Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.02.024.014.725.72.535.7131.5
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +54.0%
WAS +0.2%
SAS -0.3%
SAS -2.2%
SAS -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASWASNBASASWASNBA
this game13.913.214.2123.4131.4109.6
season14.113.7110.8109.8
opponent14.014.2114.2112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.813.414.613.913.9
WAS15.013.712.611.913.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryn Forbes74720.15-0.650.80-0.2614-203412.916.3-3.4414.111.32.82
Trey Lyles1716-0.03-0.470.43-0.01-1-5412.614.2-1.5913.113.3-0.21
Patty Mills6666-0.06-0.440.37-0.3911-172813.414.7-1.2713.512.70.83
Jakob Poeltl6061-0.07-0.430.36-0.132-81013.514.4-0.8512.913.7-0.88
DeMarre Carroll2123-0.19-0.310.13-0.221-7815.913.42.4612.513.5-0.97
Rudy Gay6461-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.18-3-3013.814.1-0.2813.113.5-0.37
DeMar DeRozan9087-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.22-71-813.615.5-1.8413.312.70.62
Marco Belinelli3029-0.44-0.06-0.380.03-1610-2615.713.22.4212.213.6-1.38
LaMarcus Aldridge6967-0.510.01-0.52-0.22-104-1414.512.91.5213.912.11.78
Dejounte Murray4443-0.650.15-0.80-0.03-2115-3615.213.02.2512.014.1-2.18

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rui Hachimura52540.65-0.150.790.2613-72013.313.10.2114.913.01.87
Ish Smith53550.350.150.210.2442212.414.1-1.7413.714.2-0.52
Moritz Wagner59600.290.210.080.2033012.514.2-1.7013.114.9-1.76
Jordan McRae31310.280.220.060.058-21012.113.7-1.5713.714.0-0.35
Davis Bertans68690.250.250.000.31-28-1012.913.8-0.8812.915.8-2.85
Bradley Beal82830.240.26-0.020.2115-413.612.11.4714.013.50.49
Thomas Bryant46470.210.29-0.080.1233014.212.51.7014.913.11.76
Troy Brown Jr.40400.140.36-0.220.1115-414.412.51.8814.913.31.56
Isaiah Thomas51510.110.39-0.270.1106-614.412.12.2414.413.50.89
CJ Miles4345-0.030.53-0.560.00-17-812.413.8-1.4313.214.4-1.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 87, DEN 970.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.98,1,1,193.2%
MIN 109, NOP 1230.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,192.9%
PHI 82, NJN 860.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.57,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,192.8%