NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Excitement	6.6 [533]		MVP	Jordan Crawford (NOP): +25.3%
New Orleans Pelicans	123		Comeback	4.3 [446]		LVP	DeMarcus Cousins (NOP): -6.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Muhammad	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.01	13	65%	0.17	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	27	59%	0.17	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	3	33%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.03	19	56%	0.11	5	-0.13	7	71%	-0.02
Tyus Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	4	82%	0.06	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.16,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.15	0.13	0.04	13	85%	0.30	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.01	16	62%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	8	65%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.06	0.06	16	74%	0.22	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	11	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	14	54%	0.07	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.3	27.1	14.8	25.8	1.7	27.5	122.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +38.6%

NOP +0.3%

NOP +8.6%

MIN -0.6%

NOP +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOP	NBA	MIN	NOP	NBA
this game	15.4	13.6	14.8	111.2	121.8	107.7
season	15.3	14.1		109.3	104.1
opponent	15.0	14.7		106.2	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.8	17.6	15.9	12.6	15.4
NOP	13.1	15.1	12.4	14.1	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Aldrich	15	17	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-13	12	15.9	15.3	0.60	10.8	14.2	-3.36
Kris Dunn	29	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-15	16	14.2	15.8	-1.63	13.6	13.6	-0.09
Tyus Jones	25	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-14	14	14.0	15.8	-1.88	14.3	13.4	0.94
Shabazz Muhammad	49	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-12	10	14.7	16.0	-1.33	13.7	13.5	0.27
Brandon Rush	78	80	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-2	-10	15.4	15.1	0.32	13.9	12.4	1.50
Andrew Wiggins	73	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.02	-14	0	-14	15.8	14.0	1.88	13.4	14.3	-0.94
Ricky Rubio	69	72	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	1	-16	15.8	14.2	1.63	13.6	13.6	0.09
Gorgui Dieng	72	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	-4	-6	15.6	14.7	0.85	13.1	15.0	-1.92
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	3	-20	15.4	15.2	0.23	14.3	11.1	3.18

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Hill	75	70	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.04	22	-8	30	13.1	15.1	-2.02	15.5	15.0	0.55
DeMarcus Cousins	69	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	2	10	13.1	14.7	-1.53	14.5	17.2	-2.67
E'Twaun Moore	59	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.02	14	0	14	13.8	13.3	0.56	15.2	15.5	-0.33
Anthony Davis	71	70	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.09	16	-2	18	14.1	12.5	1.54	16.0	13.9	2.10
Jrue Holiday	71	70	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.09	16	-2	18	14.1	12.5	1.54	16.0	13.9	2.10
Jordan Crawford	45	45	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	17	-20	13.0	14.1	-1.11	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Dante Cunningham	46	46	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.14	7	7	0	13.6	13.6	0.03	15.4	15.3	0.02
Tim Frazier	49	48	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	17	-20	14.1	13.1	1.03	15.1	15.6	-0.41
Donatas Motiejunas	12	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	17	-20	14.1	13.6	0.53	17.7	15.1	2.67
Quinn Cook	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	12.2	13.7	-1.42	11.7	15.5	-3.81
Cheick Diallo	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	12.2	13.7	-1.42	11.7	15.5	-3.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 105, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.97,1,1,1	93.6%
CLE 92, PHX 103	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1	93.0%
POR 90, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	92.8%