NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	82		Excitement	5.5 [733]		MVP	Antoine Wright (NJN): +10.9%
New Jersey Nets	86		Comeback	2.7 [717]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -12.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Carney	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	8	61%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	12	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.04	0.06	9	60%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	12	54%	0.08	5	-0.14	2	0%	-0.03
Willie Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	21%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Kyle Korver	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	14	32%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	14	41%	-0.03	4	-0.10	6	67%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	8	63%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.01	10	54%	0.12	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	16	53%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	56%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mikki Moore	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	60%	0.10	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.01	0.06	6	92%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Adams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	13	41%	0.05	4	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.3	26.3	14.8	26.0	1.8	33.4	131.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +35.6%

NJN +29.7%

PHI -9.0%

PHI -8.0%

NJN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	16.6	16.9	15.4	95.3	100.0	104.5
season	15.5	15.4		101.7	103.1
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.8	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.7	16.8	17.1	16.8	16.6
NJN	15.6	19.2	16.4	16.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodney Carney	34	35	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-9	14	15.5	17.2	-1.72	16.2	17.4	-1.16
Steven Hunter	42	41	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-7	10	17.6	15.6	2.05	17.7	16.2	1.51
Bobby Jones	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-9	14	3.0	16.7	-13.73	12.0	17.0	-5.04
Lou Williams	11	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-9	14	14.1	16.9	-2.84	17.6	16.8	0.77
Willie Green	23	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	2	-8	15.8	16.8	-1.02	14.9	17.6	-2.73
Andre Iguodala	57	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	1	-6	17.5	14.8	2.73	17.6	15.6	2.00
Samuel Dalembert	73	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-2	0	16.5	17.2	-0.69	16.7	18.2	-1.55
Andre Miller	75	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.22	-9	5	-14	16.9	14.1	2.84	16.8	17.6	-0.77
Kyle Korver	57	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	3	-10	16.8	16.1	0.70	17.6	15.6	2.03
Joe Smith	57	57	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	5	-14	15.9	17.8	-1.90	16.6	17.5	-0.85

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Jefferson	75	73	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-5	14	17.0	16.5	0.43	16.8	15.4	1.40
Josh Boone	28	29	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.11	9	-5	14	14.7	18.0	-3.32	18.1	15.8	2.26
Vince Carter	42	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	-2	8	17.8	16.0	1.79	16.7	16.4	0.34
Clifford Robinson	38	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.18	5	-1	6	17.2	16.7	0.57	15.9	17.1	-1.12
Jason Kidd	64	65	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	-2	8	17.3	15.9	1.42	16.9	15.4	1.51
Mikki Moore	56	57	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	-2	8	16.7	17.3	-0.64	16.9	15.8	1.12
Marcus Williams	28	27	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	5	-6	15.9	17.4	-1.47	16.0	16.8	-0.78
Antoine Wright	34	34	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.24	-5	9	-14	17.2	16.7	0.43	16.4	16.7	-0.26
Jason Collins	47	46	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.28	-7	11	-18	18.8	14.6	4.21	16.3	16.9	-0.62
Hassan Adams	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	9	-14	12.0	17.0	-5.04	1.5	16.9	-15.43
Bostjan Nachbar	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	2	0	13.1	17.7	-4.60	15.7	16.7	-1.03
Bernard Robinson	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	9	-14	12.0	17.0	-5.04	3.0	16.7	-13.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.57,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 101, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.8,0.84,0.89,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIA 76, PHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
CHI 88, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.42,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%