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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 112 Excitement7.5 [355] MVPKarl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +21.6%
Utah Jazz 102 Comeback3.1 [176] LVPTreveon Graham (MIN): -12.7%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns0.220,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.070.15-0.002363%0.415-0.1900%0.00
Josh Okogie0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.060.090.00573%0.161-0.02580%0.02
Keita Bates-Diop0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.040.00260%0.0600.001100%0.01
Kelan Martin0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.120.000.077100%0.091-0.0400%0.00
Gorgui Dieng0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00750%0.0200.002100%0.01
Jake Layman0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.000.00646%0.0200.0010%-0.01
Jeff Teague-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.011849%0.052-0.05786%0.04
Jarrett Culver-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.02-0.00736%0.031-0.0500%0.00
Robert Covington-0.050,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.040.031065%0.064-0.123100%0.00
Treveon Graham-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.040.0040%-0.081-0.0500%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.030.10-0.02850%0.173-0.09683%0.03
Royce O'Neale0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.00570%0.0500.0000%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00450%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02-0.030.07-0.010.08870%0.022-0.04786%0.02
Joe Ingles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.05-0.041246%-0.002-0.04250%-0.00
Dante Exum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00425%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.090.02-0.080.021751%-0.032-0.061100%0.00
Donovan Mitchell0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.12-0.01-0.032332%-0.042-0.05771%-0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.00-0.040.051545%-0.071-0.02367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.52.427.415.426.52.437.5138.1
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +70.0%
MIN +4.7%
UTA -7.7%
UTA -16.3%
UTA -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINUTANBAMINUTANBA
this game13.713.114.2103.795.3109.6
season13.814.9107.1112.1
opponent14.213.8109.4110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIN12.813.513.815.013.7
UTA13.412.712.413.813.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kelan Martin54530.82-0.321.150.2121-113214.013.40.6313.013.1-0.13
Josh Okogie60570.66-0.160.820.3112-21413.514.0-0.4612.613.5-0.89
Karl-Anthony Towns75740.64-0.140.770.3111-11213.514.3-0.7913.611.81.85
Jeff Teague80770.390.110.280.2164213.813.60.1613.412.21.20
Robert Covington74720.170.33-0.160.1419-813.414.4-0.9613.013.1-0.12
Treveon Graham53540.120.38-0.260.0046-213.613.8-0.2013.612.51.14
Keita Bates-Diop28270.110.39-0.280.0528-614.713.41.3413.113.00.06
Jarrett Culver5154-0.090.59-0.69-0.1219-814.213.30.9312.513.6-1.10
Gorgui Dieng3333-0.140.64-0.77-0.11-111-1214.313.50.7911.813.6-1.85
Jake Layman3234-0.190.69-0.870.02-717-2412.714.2-1.4713.113.00.08

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dante Exum31300.17-0.670.840.141-111212.213.4-1.2314.713.31.40
Royce O'Neale61600.07-0.570.64-0.085-152013.013.1-0.1112.914.8-1.92
Emmanuel Mudiay33320.02-0.520.540.14-4-6212.113.5-1.4513.613.8-0.14
Jeff Green4039-0.17-0.330.160.09-9-1-813.213.00.2514.013.60.47
Joe Ingles7473-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.12-111-1212.614.1-1.4814.412.32.13
Donovan Mitchell7277-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.16-100-1013.312.60.7313.713.8-0.07
Mike Conley7576-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.30-6-4-213.512.11.4313.813.60.14
Bojan Bogdanovic6871-0.580.08-0.66-0.40-6-4-213.412.41.0313.414.4-0.96
Rudy Gobert8182-0.640.14-0.77-0.34-100-1013.312.50.8013.514.3-0.82


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.35,0.31,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.46,0.34,0.04,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 99, POR 870.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.59,0.4,0.33,0.11,0.04,0,0,093.6%
GSW 110, PHX 1000.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.29,0.34,0.07,0.01,0,0,092.8%
IND 93, POR 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.05,091.6%