NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	8.6 [169]		MVP	Travis Best (IND): +10.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	91		Comeback	2.0 [138]		LVP	Brian Grant (POR): -20.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.01	0.09	0.00	10	57%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.07
Dale Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	10	62%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Mark Jackson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	2	67%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	11	82%	0.03
Austin Croshere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	12	46%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Rik Smits	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.00	10	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Al Harrington	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	9	22%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	18	52%	-0.04	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.04

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	13	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	71%	0.18	3	-0.12	8	100%	0.07
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	6	43%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	7	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	-0.00	17	51%	-0.02	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	11	33%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	6	40%	-0.09	2	-0.11	3	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.6	26.4	14.8	26.0	2.6	40.2	137.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +10.3%

IND +5.9%

IND +16.7%

IND +12.2%

IND +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	POR	NBA	IND	POR	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.2	100.0	97.8	101.7
season	15.4	15.9		106.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.1		99.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.9	14.3	14.7	19.0	15.4
POR	13.8	17.0	16.6	15.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	56	55	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-8	18	15.7	14.8	0.95	15.7	15.6	0.10
Travis Best	44	44	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-7	16	16.5	14.3	2.26	16.2	15.1	1.08
Reggie Miller	77	78	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	3	-4	15.2	15.9	-0.70	15.2	18.0	-2.85
Jalen Rose	76	75	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.45	-4	6	-10	15.5	14.6	0.94	15.5	16.2	-0.69
Dale Davis	71	71	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.36	-2	4	-6	15.2	16.0	-0.79	15.4	16.2	-0.75
Al Harrington	33	33	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	-7	16	15.2	15.4	-0.17	17.0	14.8	2.15
Sam Perkins	27	27	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	-4	10	15.1	15.5	-0.40	16.1	15.4	0.75
Mark Jackson	49	49	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	9	-16	14.3	16.5	-2.26	15.1	16.2	-1.08
Rik Smits	32	33	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.05	-10	12	-22	15.3	15.4	-0.02	15.5	15.7	-0.20

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	13	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	0	-2	16.5	15.5	1.08	15.5	15.3	0.11
Rasheed Wallace	77	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.36	7	-9	16	15.2	17.7	-2.58	15.3	15.6	-0.33
Stacey Augmon	20	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.01	-7	5	-12	18.2	14.9	3.30	13.3	15.9	-2.61
Greg Anthony	31	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	3	-8	16.6	15.1	1.50	14.9	15.6	-0.62
Arvydas Sabonis	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-5	8	15.0	16.2	-1.15	15.9	14.8	1.00
Brian Grant	30	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	3	-8	16.8	15.0	1.75	14.2	16.0	-1.79
Damon Stoudamire	63	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.39	3	-5	8	14.9	17.1	-2.24	15.6	14.9	0.62
Steven Smith	80	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.44	3	-5	8	15.5	16.2	-0.72	15.6	13.9	1.68
Scottie Pippen	75	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.44	3	-5	8	15.0	18.3	-3.37	15.8	13.4	2.44
Detlef Schrempf	29	31	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	8	-18	16.8	15.1	1.66	15.5	15.3	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 107, TOR 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.3%
DET 105, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.29,0.35,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.28,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	92.7%
NYK 83, DEN 75	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,0	92.4%