NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	127		Excitement	9.3 [145]		MVP	Rodney McGruder (LAC): +21.6%
New Orleans Pelicans	132		Comeback	2.0 [326]		LVP	Nickeil Alexander-Walker (NOP): -12.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney McGruder	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.18	0.05	0.01	10	77%	0.22	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Lou Williams	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.04	0.01	20	62%	0.19	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.01	12	67%	0.18	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.02,0.01,0.05	0.17	-0.11	0.00	17	75%	0.34	5	-0.29	10	100%	0.09
Maurice Harkless	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	6	64%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Patrick Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.03	0.00	14	77%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.1,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.01	24	65%	0.38	7	-0.26	7	71%	-0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.00	6	56%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.01	0.02	13	69%	0.14	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	13	58%	0.10	2	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.01	14	47%	0.08	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nicolo Melli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	6	14%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	29.3	14.7	27.8	2.4	37.4	139.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +9.5%

LAC -13.1%

NOP +41.4%

NOP +10.9%

NOP +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOP	NBA	LAC	NOP	NBA
this game	13.5	13.8	14.2	119.8	125.7	109.6
season	13.8	13.4		113.2	109.9
opponent	14.2	14.4		111.4	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.7	13.9	13.3	13.2	13.5
NOP	14.0	13.2	13.8	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Robinson	37	37	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.09	7	-12	19	13.2	13.7	-0.42	15.4	12.9	2.47
Terance Mann	55	53	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-3	1	14.4	12.6	1.83	13.3	14.3	-0.97
Ivica Zubac	24	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-5	5	13.0	13.7	-0.67	15.7	13.2	2.50
Paul George	56	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.30	7	-12	19	11.7	15.5	-3.83	13.9	13.6	0.35
Maurice Harkless	71	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-9	13	13.2	14.2	-1.02	13.1	15.2	-2.13
Patrick Patterson	6	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	16.3	13.3	2.98	12.5	13.9	-1.36
Montrezl Harrell	82	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	0	-5	13.7	13.0	0.67	13.2	15.7	-2.50
Rodney McGruder	79	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.36	-2	-3	1	13.7	12.9	0.85	14.2	12.6	1.65
JaMychal Green	40	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	5	-15	13.8	13.3	0.49	14.1	13.6	0.52
Lou Williams	80	81	-1.08	0.58	-1.66	-0.49	-20	15	-35	14.0	12.0	2.06	13.4	15.1	-1.74

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	77	77	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-8	21	13.1	15.6	-2.44	13.7	13.0	0.76
Kenrich Williams	67	67	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.43	9	-4	13	13.9	13.6	0.23	13.7	13.2	0.54
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	46	47	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-7	19	13.7	13.8	-0.11	14.0	13.2	0.79
JJ Redick	75	75	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.47	-3	8	-11	13.5	14.6	-1.15	13.4	13.9	-0.54
Jrue Holiday	80	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.17	6	-1	7	13.5	14.6	-1.02	13.8	12.7	1.15
Frank Jackson	50	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.43	-3	8	-11	14.1	13.5	0.53	12.5	14.4	-1.97
E'Twaun Moore	64	66	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	2	1	14.3	13.0	1.32	13.8	13.0	0.83
Nicolo Melli	38	39	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	9	-13	13.6	13.9	-0.23	13.2	13.7	-0.54
Jaxson Hayes	28	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.04	-8	13	-21	15.6	13.1	2.44	13.0	13.7	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.46,0.58,0.63,0.73,0.66,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.38,0.51,0.66,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.72,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 92, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.85,0.99,1	91.2%
CLE 88, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.34,0.55,0.79,0.86,0.96,1	90.9%
DEN 84, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.35,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.9,0.99,1	90.9%