NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	92		Excitement	6.7 [515]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +11.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	2.0 [785]		LVP	David Wesley (NOH): -14.8%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	3	75%	0.13	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	65%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Baron Davis	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.02,0.01	0.02	-0.05	-0.04	18	57%	0.10	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
George Lynch	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	10	42%	-0.05	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.15	0.03	-0.14	0.03	18	52%	-0.10	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	22	62%	0.20	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	7	57%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	12	52%	0.11	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.06
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	9	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	-0.09	0.00	12	58%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	31%	-0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	26.6	15.6	26.0	1.5	38.2	134.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +18.7%

MIN +6.1%

MIN +18.5%

MIN +5.4%

MIN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MIN	NBA	NOH	MIN	NBA
this game	17.1	15.8	15.5	105.7	112.5	104.0
season	16.5	15.8		97.7	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.7		104.6	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	17.4	20.2	14.2	17.2	17.1
MIN	16.9	15.0	16.4	14.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	52	51	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.28	5	-12	17	18.6	14.9	3.67	16.9	14.3	2.57
David Wesley	68	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.35	7	-14	21	17.0	17.7	-0.77	15.6	16.3	-0.66
P.J. Brown	73	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-12	17	16.8	18.9	-2.05	15.6	16.6	-1.02
Jamaal Magloire	62	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.35	6	-13	19	17.5	16.2	1.37	16.0	15.4	0.57
Baron Davis	66	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.42	8	-15	23	16.7	18.5	-1.76	16.2	14.5	1.65
J.R. Smith	11	13	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	5	-17	18.5	16.9	1.51	14.3	16.0	-1.73
David West	10	10	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.05	-11	4	-15	20.1	16.8	3.35	14.0	16.0	-2.01
Chris Andersen	22	24	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	4	-15	17.5	17.0	0.48	16.5	15.5	0.98
Rodney Rogers	40	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	4	-15	14.8	19.1	-4.24	14.9	16.6	-1.77
Darrell Armstrong	31	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.19	-21	14	-35	17.2	17.1	0.09	15.4	16.0	-0.56

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	60	59	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.27	18	-11	29	15.0	17.4	-2.31	17.2	17.1	0.05
Mark Madsen	45	43	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.14	13	-6	19	15.6	15.9	-0.29	16.3	17.9	-1.56
Troy Hudson	28	28	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	-8	23	14.3	16.5	-2.15	17.0	17.2	-0.26
Sam Cassell	58	57	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	7	-7	17.0	13.5	3.47	17.5	16.4	1.13
Kevin Garnett	75	74	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.26	0	7	-7	15.5	17.7	-2.24	16.8	19.1	-2.28
Fred Hoiberg	27	26	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	-1	9	14.7	16.3	-1.56	17.6	16.9	0.68
Latrell Sprewell	46	45	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.37	-10	17	-27	16.2	15.4	0.77	16.1	18.2	-2.08
Wally Szczerbiak	50	53	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.11	-2	9	-11	16.6	14.7	1.89	18.0	15.7	2.30
Michael Olowokandi	29	29	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.23	-6	13	-19	17.4	15.0	2.38	17.9	16.8	1.14
Ervin Johnson	21	20	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	6	-5	15.1	16.0	-0.84	17.7	17.0	0.79
Anthony Carter	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	12	-17	2.0	16.1	-14.10	8.5	17.3	-8.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, BKN 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.47,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.41,0.4,0.68,0.85,0.99,1,1	91.0%
DEN 92, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.44,0.56,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.84,0.98,0.99,1	90.7%
DET 86, PHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.6,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.83,1	90.2%