inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 84 Excitement7.5 [356] MVPZach Randolph (MEM): +26.3%
Memphis Grizzlies 91 Comeback2.1 [716] LVPMario Chalmers (MEM): -28.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.12-0.000.031862%0.142-0.0511100%0.05
Nikola Jokic0.060,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.080.000.024112%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Mike Miller-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Darrell Arthur-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.001250%0.114-0.1600%0.00
Will Barton-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.021127%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Gary Harris-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.01955%0.054-0.122100%0.01
Jusuf Nurkic-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.040.01832%-0.0800.00367%-0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.021029%-0.042-0.0510%-0.02
Jameer Nelson-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.04-0.0130%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
JJ Hickson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.030.00525%-0.071-0.03250%-0.01
Randy Foye-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.10-0.06-0.00617%-0.092-0.0700%0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.260.260.060.18-0.021952%0.2600.00875%-0.01
Matt Barnes0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.040.02783%0.151-0.024100%0.02
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.090.02-0.01577%0.1100.00367%0.00
James Ennis00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Elliot Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff Green0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.03-0.021347%-0.011-0.00862%-0.02
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.000.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.0030%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.011732%-0.0900.00367%-0.02
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.29,-0.28-0.28-0.10-0.130.061340%-0.174-0.124100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.21.831.814.725.31.740.2142.6
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +18.1%
MEM +3.2%
DEN -4.4%
MEM +34.4%
DEN -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMEMNBADENMEMNBA
this game15.115.814.989.498.9105.1
season14.915.7104.3103.4
opponent14.814.9106.7107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.116.716.212.515.1
MEM16.215.214.417.515.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic3533-0.03-0.470.44-0.144-111516.314.51.8017.714.82.93
Joffrey Lauvergne3637-0.04-0.460.420.02-2-5316.114.51.6414.516.7-2.19
Darrell Arthur5249-0.09-0.410.31-0.121-8914.416.1-1.7115.915.80.06
Jameer Nelson6057-0.14-0.360.23-0.233-101314.715.9-1.1416.215.30.82
Mike Miller2526-0.18-0.320.15-0.00-6-1-516.014.81.1914.016.6-2.63
Will Barton3938-0.25-0.250.010.10-125-1716.414.22.2414.916.5-1.58
JJ Hickson2120-0.29-0.21-0.080.03-114-1517.014.62.4115.016.1-1.02
Danilo Gallinari7069-0.33-0.17-0.15-0.361-8914.816.1-1.2816.015.30.78
Randy Foye3435-0.36-0.14-0.23-0.07-103-1315.914.71.1415.316.2-0.82
Gary Harris6160-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.411-8914.216.8-2.6116.514.71.78
Jusuf Nurkic3736-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.29-4-3-113.216.4-3.1116.815.21.57

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marc Gasol71690.58-0.080.660.329-21116.114.91.2215.414.41.05
Matt Barnes64650.55-0.050.600.4052315.815.9-0.0114.816.0-1.21
Jeff Green68670.400.100.300.2843116.414.22.1615.115.2-0.08
Tony Allen71740.380.120.260.0910-31316.015.30.6715.613.22.39
Zach Randolph54570.290.210.080.2325-315.915.70.2314.616.0-1.39
Mario Chalmers78790.170.33-0.160.32-512-1715.915.80.0714.717.4-2.70
Vince Carter16180.060.44-0.37-0.0852314.316.2-1.8616.714.81.90
Elliot Williams19200.060.44-0.38-0.0852314.816.1-1.2715.715.00.79
James Ennis010.020.48-0.460.0207-70.015.8-15.8513.015.2-2.15
JaMychal Green1920-0.020.52-0.53-0.0207-714.216.3-2.0614.915.2-0.23


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.35,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.9,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 82, NJN 890.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.85,0.98,191.1%
BOS 96, IND 990.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.79,0.85,0.96,191.0%
CHI 93, DEN 1010.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.61,0.72,0.97,0.98,190.9%