inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 122 Excitement3.2 [1031] MVPPascal Siakam (TOR): +14.2%
New Orleans Pelicans 104 Comeback1.3 [749] LVPFred VanVleet (TOR): -7.5%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pascal Siakam0.140,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.260.000.122872%0.164-0.025100%0.01
Norman Powell0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.01-0.001072%0.141-0.01580%0.01
OG Anunoby0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.150.000.071375%0.091-0.012100%0.01
Serge Ibaka0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.01657%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Kyle Lowry0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.01560%0.041-0.0100%0.00
Stanley Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malcolm Miller0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Thomas-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.01275%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Terence Davis-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0310%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Chris Boucher-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03631%-0.0100.00475%0.00
Marc Gasol-0.010,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.080.00-0.07636%0.023-0.032100%0.01
Fred VanVleet-0.070,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.11-0.01-0.041535%-0.033-0.05475%-0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.03872%0.032-0.012100%0.00
Brandon Ingram0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.002550%0.043-0.034100%0.01
Jahlil Okafor0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.013100%0.042-0.0300%0.00
Jrue Holiday0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.011352%0.032-0.02560%-0.02
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.05760%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Derrick Favors0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00450%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jaxson Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.010.000.02344%-0.0300.0030%-0.03
Nicolo Melli0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00233%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.040.00-0.00125%-0.021-0.02250%-0.00
Frank Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.000.051250%-0.042-0.01250%-0.00
Lonzo Ball0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.12-0.00-0.08831%-0.004-0.0400%0.00
Josh Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.11-0.00-0.04911%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.01.829.315.328.72.331.5132.8
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +37.8%
TOR +9.5%
NOP -4.0%
TOR +6.0%
TOR +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORNOPNBATORNOPNBA
this game13.712.814.2111.995.4109.6
season14.013.4109.9109.9
opponent14.214.5111.4104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.511.215.115.313.7
NOP12.212.813.712.412.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Norman Powell65670.470.030.43-0.3528-103813.513.9-0.4513.411.71.66
Kyle Lowry40390.370.130.23-0.071531211.714.8-3.1412.912.70.29
Chris Boucher34330.310.190.130.20414-1012.714.1-1.4312.013.1-1.14
Terence Davis36370.290.210.080.26117-1613.114.0-0.9012.912.70.20
Marc Gasol65640.260.240.01-0.241711614.013.20.7313.411.81.60
Serge Ibaka29300.250.250.01-0.0199011.914.3-2.3613.112.60.42
Pascal Siakam88860.190.31-0.120.01612-614.410.73.7112.513.8-1.29
Fred VanVleet81810.180.32-0.13-0.231441014.012.71.3212.812.70.02
OG Anunoby68660.120.38-0.25-0.23126613.813.40.3612.812.60.22
Matt Thomas27270.110.39-0.290.25-523-2815.313.12.1311.313.2-1.95
Stanley Johnson230.000.50-0.500.03-119-2019.513.65.958.012.9-4.90
Malcolm Miller1012-0.050.55-0.600.24-1028-3816.013.42.5812.012.9-0.86

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenrich Williams25250.02-0.520.54-0.4215-334811.313.2-1.9215.513.12.41
Nickeil Alexander-Walker3535-0.01-0.490.47-0.165-232812.412.9-0.5715.412.92.52
Jaxson Hayes3333-0.02-0.480.47-0.165-232811.613.3-1.7014.313.40.96
Nicolo Melli2425-0.12-0.380.260.09-7-11413.112.70.4112.214.1-1.84
Lonzo Ball5353-0.16-0.340.180.11-9-9012.113.4-1.3713.314.0-0.73
Josh Hart3938-0.23-0.270.040.09-11-7-412.313.0-0.6712.914.1-1.18
Jrue Holiday7071-0.23-0.270.030.21-15-3-1212.613.0-0.3713.613.8-0.16
Derrick Favors4040-0.23-0.270.030.06-10-8-214.211.92.2713.613.7-0.14
Jahlil Okafor3636-0.25-0.25-0.000.13-13-5-812.213.0-0.7613.113.9-0.78
Frank Jackson4039-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.19-2-161413.312.40.8914.713.11.57
JJ Redick3736-0.32-0.18-0.150.06-13-5-814.012.11.8713.413.8-0.36
E'Twaun Moore4141-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.04-10-8-213.312.40.8513.213.9-0.75
Brandon Ingram7273-0.37-0.13-0.230.37-257-3213.012.30.6613.314.5-1.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.43,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 130, PHI 1100.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
UTA 100, GSW 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,096.4%
WAS 105, TOR 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.21,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%