NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	4.1 [1019]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +28.9%
Golden State Warriors	120		Comeback	1.0 [1308]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (CLE): -5.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ante Zizic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	8	60%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
David Nwaba	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.05	7	76%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.13	-0.03	0.08	21	59%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.01	0.04	10	65%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.06	12	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marquese Chriss	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	8	55%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Brandon Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	15	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.29	0.29	0.28	0.06	0.06	21	82%	0.35	4	-0.06	7	100%	0.02
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.00	0.03	6	117%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.02	14	69%	0.08	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	14	54%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	15	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	38.2	2.8	24.4	2.4	26.4	123.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +72.8%

CLE -8.9%

CLE -10.2%

CLE -5.6%

GSW +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	13.3	14.3	112.9	122.4	109.3
season	15.5	13.4		106.3	114.5
opponent	15.0	13.9		108.9	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.8	15.7	16.0	14.8	15.6
GSW	12.4	13.6	12.2	15.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Nwaba	45	44	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.29	13	-19	32	15.3	15.7	-0.42	15.3	11.7	3.62
Marquese Chriss	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-8	10	14.4	15.7	-1.35	16.1	13.0	3.12
Nik Stauskas	24	22	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-1	-4	16.2	15.4	0.90	14.9	12.9	2.01
Ante Zizic	33	31	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-2	-2	17.2	14.8	2.40	14.0	13.0	1.00
Jordan Clarkson	68	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-6	6	15.4	16.0	-0.65	13.6	12.7	0.88
Brandon Knight	63	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-4	2	16.2	14.5	1.71	14.0	12.2	1.86
Cedi Osman	71	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-2	-2	15.5	15.7	-0.19	12.4	15.5	-3.03
Larry Nance Jr.	71	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	0	-6	15.0	16.9	-1.85	12.8	14.7	-1.91
Collin Sexton	70	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	1	-8	15.4	16.0	-0.58	12.4	15.4	-2.96
Tristan Thompson	49	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	11	-28	15.2	15.9	-0.66	11.7	14.8	-3.11

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bogut	45	46	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-9	24	11.8	14.7	-2.86	15.8	15.4	0.36
Klay Thompson	78	78	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	-5	16	13.4	13.3	0.06	15.1	17.2	-2.14
Draymond Green	75	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	1	4	12.4	16.3	-3.86	15.4	16.0	-0.56
Stephen Curry	75	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	1	4	12.4	16.3	-3.86	15.4	16.0	-0.56
Kevin Durant	78	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	1	4	12.8	15.4	-2.58	15.3	16.5	-1.21
Quinn Cook	30	32	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	3	0	15.5	12.4	3.10	15.7	15.5	0.27
Shaun Livingston	13	14	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	2	2	14.9	13.1	1.82	16.7	15.4	1.33
Jordan Bell	23	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	5	-4	16.3	12.4	3.86	15.6	15.5	0.08
Damion Lee	4	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.08	-3	9	-12	12.5	13.4	-0.88	20.2	15.4	4.88
Alfonzo McKinnie	16	18	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	10	-14	15.0	13.0	1.98	16.3	15.4	0.94
Kevon Looney	20	20	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	9	-12	12.4	13.6	-1.19	16.2	15.4	0.85
Jonas Jerebko	33	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.20	-9	15	-24	16.0	12.0	4.05	15.5	15.6	-0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.88,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.85,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 99, NOP 115	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NJN 74, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CHI 83, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.99,1,1	95.5%